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stringlengths 16
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values | created_time
timestamp[s] | resolve_time
timestamp[s] |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will one or more additional interstellar asteroids be detected by 2019? | 0 | no | 2017-11-23T00:00:00 | 2019-01-02T00:00:00 |
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Will the UK's Conservative government fall by the end of 2018? | 0 | no | 2017-11-28T00:00:00 | 2019-01-01T00:00:00 |
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Will the Supreme Court set clear limits on partisan gerrymandering in 2018? | 0 | no | 2017-11-28T00:00:00 | 2018-06-20T00:00:00 |
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Will Donald Trump Jr. be charged with a crime by Father's Day 2018? | 0 | no | 2017-12-03T00:00:00 | 2018-06-21T00:00:00 |
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Will Tesla's market cap fall in half in 2018? | 0 | no | 2017-12-06T00:00:00 | 2018-12-31T00:00:00 |
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Passing the torch part 2: Will a Bitcoin's dollar value exceed the Dow Jones Industrial Index value? | 0 | no | 2017-12-08T00:00:00 | 2018-02-04T00:00:00 |
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Will the James Webb Telescope Launch prior to 2020? | 0 | no | 2017-12-31T00:00:00 | 2019-12-26T00:00:00 |
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Will the Metaculus predictions be within 5% of the community prediction for this question? | 0 | no | 2018-01-10T00:00:00 | 2018-01-31T00:00:00 |
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Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2019? | 0 | no | 2018-01-20T00:00:00 | 2019-07-01T00:00:00 |
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Will Amazon choose either Austin or Boston for its HQ2? | 0 | no | 2018-01-21T00:00:00 | 2018-11-13T00:00:00 |
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Another NYT News Story about U.F.O.s this Year? | 0 | no | 2018-01-23T00:00:00 | 2019-02-01T00:00:00 |
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A NYT article this year that discusses aliens as a possible explanation for an astronomical phenomenon? | 0 | no | 2018-01-24T00:00:00 | 2019-02-03T00:00:00 |
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Will the first SpaceX Falcon 9 Heavy launch succeed? | 1 | yes | 2018-01-26T00:00:00 | 2018-02-06T00:00:00 |
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Will Donald Trump submit to questioning as part of Mueller's investigation? | 0 | no | 2018-01-28T00:00:00 | 2018-07-05T00:00:00 |
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Will Oprah Winfrey run for President in 2020? | 0 | no | 2018-02-01T00:00:00 | 2020-08-21T00:00:00 |
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Will this flu season be worse than the 2014 - 2015 season? | 1 | yes | 2018-02-01T00:00:00 | 2018-03-02T00:00:00 |
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Will there be a Metaculus ICO this year? | 0 | no | 2018-02-02T00:00:00 | 2018-12-31T00:00:00 |
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Will Rosenstein still be the top official in charge of the Trump/Russia/Mueller investigation on April 1, 2018? | 1 | yes | 2018-02-04T00:00:00 | 2018-04-02T00:00:00 |
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Will the US enter a recession by Jan 1, 2020? | 0 | no | 2018-02-07T00:00:00 | 2020-01-03T00:00:00 |
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Will United Launch Alliances's Vulcan rocket fly by 2023 (a.k.a. Will Elon Musk eat his hat with a side of mustard?) | 0 | no | 2018-02-13T00:00:00 | 2023-01-01T00:00:00 |
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Attempted crewed SpaceX flight in 2018? | 0 | no | 2018-02-13T00:00:00 | 2018-12-31T00:00:00 |
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Will the first crewed SpaceX flight lead to the death of a crew member? | 0 | no | 2018-02-14T00:00:00 | 2020-08-02T00:00:00 |
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A Trillion Dollar company by the end of 2018? | 1 | yes | 2018-02-16T00:00:00 | 2018-08-02T00:00:00 |
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Will Bitcoin's energy consumption double again? | 0 | no | 2018-02-17T00:00:00 | 2018-12-31T00:00:00 |
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Will the SEC release new rules governing ICOs by October 2018? | 0 | no | 2018-02-19T00:00:00 | 2018-10-06T00:00:00 |
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Will India land on the Moon by August 1, 2018? | 0 | no | 2018-02-21T00:00:00 | 2018-08-03T00:00:00 |
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By 2021 will there be a court case testing the ability of a program, algorithm, or AI to be the sole partner in a US Limited Liability Corporation? | 0 | no | A [2014 paper](https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2758222) by Shawn Bayern suggested the possibility that an algorithm, rather than a person, could apparently legally manage a US LLC. From that paper:
> As a result, autonomous systems may end up being able, at least, to emulate many of the private-law rights of legal persons. This essay demonstrates a technique by which this is possible by means of limited liability companies (LLCs), a very flexible modern type of business organizations.
A more [recent paper appearing on SSRN](https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2954173) agrees with this argument, and suggest that the law may also allow non-human (i.e. algorithmic) ownership of some other corporate structures. It also argues that this could be majorly problematic in various ways. | 2018-02-23T00:00:00 | 2021-01-03T00:00:00 |
By 2020, will one of the two major U.S. political parties nominate for some office someone who openly admits to being a Flat Earther? | 0 | no | 2018-02-24T00:00:00 | 2020-12-22T00:00:00 |
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Will the 2020 U.S. Dietary Guidelines start recommending a low carbohydrate diet as an option? | 0 | no | 2018-02-24T00:00:00 | 2021-01-04T00:00:00 |
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Will NASA’s WFIRST still be funded as of the 2018 mid-term elections? | 1 | yes | 2018-02-24T00:00:00 | 2018-12-03T00:00:00 |
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Will quantum computing "supremacy” be achieved by 2025? | 1 | yes | 2018-02-24T00:00:00 | 2020-12-05T00:00:00 |
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Will SpaceX's Starlink start deployment by 2021? | 1 | yes | 2018-02-24T00:00:00 | 2019-05-23T00:00:00 |
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Will a question of unknown nature resolve positive? | 0 | no | 2018-02-25T00:00:00 | 2018-04-17T00:00:00 |
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Will the ICO industry still be growing in May 2018? | 0 | no | 2018-02-27T00:00:00 | 2018-10-07T00:00:00 |
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Will KIC 9832227 go "red nova" – observable to the naked eye on Earth – by 2024? | 0 | no | 2018-03-02T00:00:00 | 2024-01-01T00:00:00 |
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Will Magnus Carlsen retain his title of world chess champion this November? | 1 | yes | 2018-03-02T00:00:00 | 2018-11-28T00:00:00 |
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Will engineers create a material with a melting point higher than 4300K (and hence any other substance) by 2021? | 0 | no | 2018-03-03T00:00:00 | 2021-01-19T00:00:00 |
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Will Democrats win control of the US House of Representatives in 2018? | 1 | yes | 2018-03-05T00:00:00 | 2018-11-08T00:00:00 |
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Will Trump and Kim Jong Un actually meet? | 1 | yes | 2018-03-09T00:00:00 | 2018-06-12T00:00:00 |
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Will Temer's Social Security Reform be approved? | 0 | no | 2018-03-16T00:00:00 | 2019-01-02T00:00:00 |
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Will Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan experience a significant leadership disruption by 31 August 2018? | 0 | no | 2018-03-19T00:00:00 | 2018-09-01T00:00:00 |
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Will any NATO member invoke Article 4 or Article 5 before 8 September 2018? | 0 | no | 2018-03-19T00:00:00 | 2018-09-09T00:00:00 |
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Will Mark Zuckerberg appear before congress prior to April 17? | 1 | yes | 2018-03-20T00:00:00 | 2018-04-10T00:00:00 |
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Will the Democrats nominate someone from Generation X for president in 2020? | 0 | no | 2018-03-25T00:00:00 | 2020-08-19T00:00:00 |
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Will there be a locally-transmitted case of the Zika virus in Singapore between 1 April 2018 and 31 May 2018? | 0 | no | 2018-03-28T00:00:00 | 2018-06-05T00:00:00 |
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Will the US launch a nuclear first-strike on N. Korea in 2018? | 0 | no | 2018-03-29T00:00:00 | 2018-12-23T00:00:00 |
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Will Doug Ford be elected Premier of Ontario? | 1 | yes | 2018-03-30T00:00:00 | 2018-06-08T00:00:00 |
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Would a Democratically controlled House impeach President Trump before the 2020 elections? | 1 | yes | 2018-04-14T00:00:00 | 2019-12-19T00:00:00 |
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Will May Day protests turn violent? | 1 | yes | 2018-04-16T00:00:00 | 2018-05-02T00:00:00 |
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Will the 1000th binary question resolution be positive? | 0 | no | 2018-04-17T00:00:00 | 2022-01-04T00:00:00 |
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Will a member of President Trump's inner circle be sentenced to jail by 2023? | 1 | yes | 2018-04-18T00:00:00 | 2018-12-12T00:00:00 |
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Is Westworld located on an island? | 1 | yes | 2018-04-22T00:00:00 | 2018-12-31T00:00:00 |