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10 | null | #динамика_фьючерсов ∙ 11/02/2025
Динамика фьючерсов перед вечерним клирингом:
🟢
#лидеры_роста
$RIH6 RTS-3.26 +8.34%
$BBH5 ALIBABA-3.25 +4.28%
$NRK5 NGM-5.25 +3.87%
$MYU5 MOEXCNY-9.25 +3.68%
$NRH5 NGM-3.25 +3.28%
$BMM5 BRM-6.25 +3.22%
$PSH5 POSI-3.25 +3.04%
$PSM5 POSI-6.25 +3.01%
$BBM5 ALIBABA-6.25 +2.87%
$CHM5 CHMF-6.25 +2.84%
$NGJ5 NG-4.25 +2.74%
$NGH5 NG-3.25 +2.74%
$CCH5 COCOA-3.25 +2.63%
$W4M5 WHEAT-6.25 +2.52%
$NGG5 NG-2.25 +2.50%
🔴
#лидеры_падения
$HYH5 HYDR-3.25 -7.65%
$HYM5 HYDR-6.25 -6.43%
$BDM5 BAIDU-6.25 -3.10%
$BDH5 BAIDU-3.25 -3.04%
$MYZ5 MOEXCNY-12.25 -3.02%
$TYH5 TRY-3.25 -2.55%
$IPM5 IPO-6.25 -2.38%
$HKZ5 HKD-12.25 -2.06%
$AFM5 AFLT-6.25 -1.94%
$I2U5 INR-9.25 -1.87%
$PHH5 PHOR-3.25 -1.82%
$AFH5 AFLT-3.25 -1.77%
$LEM5 LEAS-6.25 -1.75%
$LEH5 LEAS-3.25 -1.58%
$SNH5 SNGR-3.25 -1.54% | https://t.me/stockspulse_moex/12292?embed=1&mode=tme | https://t.me/ | https://t.me/s/stockspulse_moex | 115 | 0 | 1,739,288,718 | 1,739,441,218 | 0 | 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10 | null | #динамика_фьючерсов #клиринг #moex ∙ 11/02/2025
Динамика фьючерсов перед вечерним клирингом:
🟢
#лидеры_роста
$RIH6 RTS-3.26 +8.34%
$BBH5 ALIBABA-3.25 +4.28%
$NRK5 NGM-5.25 +3.87%
$MYU5 MOEXCNY-9.25 +3.68%
$NRH5 NGM-3.25 +3.28%
$BMM5 BRM-6.25 +3.22%
$PSH5 POSI-3.25 +3.04%
$PSM5 POSI-6.25 +3.01%
$BBM5 ALIBABA-6.25 +2.87%
$CHM5 CHMF-6.25 +2.84%
🔴
#лидеры_падения
$HYH5 HYDR-3.25 -7.65%
$HYM5 HYDR-6.25 -6.43%
$BDM5 BAIDU-6.25 -3.10%
$BDH5 BAIDU-3.25 -3.04%
$MYZ5 MOEXCNY-12.25 -3.02%
$TYH5 TRY-3.25 -2.55%
$IPM5 IPO-6.25 -2.38%
$HKZ5 HKD-12.25 -2.06%
$AFM5 AFLT-6.25 -1.94%
$I2U5 INR-9.25 -1.87% | https://t.me/stockspulse_moex/12293?embed=1&mode=tme | https://t.me/ | https://t.me/s/stockspulse_moex | 124 | 0 | 1,739,288,722 | 1,739,441,218 | 0 | 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10 | null | 🟢
#GAZP 5,2 млн (3544 лот. × 146,1 ₽) ∙ 13:01:43 | https://t.me/stockspulse_trades/171885?embed=1&mode=tme | https://t.me/ | https://t.me/s/stockspulse_trades | 58 | 0 | 1,739,354,550 | 1,739,441,218 | 0 | 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10 | null | 🔴
#RUAL 8,8 млн (24419 лот. × 36,0 ₽) ∙ 13:01:28 | https://t.me/stockspulse_trades/171886?embed=1&mode=tme | https://t.me/ | https://t.me/s/stockspulse_trades | 58 | 0 | 1,739,354,550 | 1,739,441,218 | 0 | 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10 | null | 🟢
#GAZP 7,8 млн (5330 лот. × 146,4 ₽) ∙ 13:02:30 | https://t.me/stockspulse_trades/171887?embed=1&mode=tme | https://t.me/ | https://t.me/s/stockspulse_trades | 60 | 0 | 1,739,354,607 | 1,739,441,218 | 0 | 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10 | null | 🔴
#VTBR 6,3 млн (75116 лот. × 83,7 ₽) ∙ 13:03:52 | https://t.me/stockspulse_trades/171888?embed=1&mode=tme | https://t.me/ | https://t.me/s/stockspulse_trades | 62 | 0 | 1,739,354,663 | 1,739,441,218 | 0 | 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| [{"ner":"75116","lemma":"75116","label":"DATE","start_pos":17,"end_pos":22},{"ner":"83,7","lemma":"83,7","label":"CARDINAL","start_pos":30,"end_pos":34},{"ner":"13:03:52","lemma":"13:03:52","label":"TIME","start_pos":41,"end_pos":49},{"ner":"6","lemma":"6","label":"NUM","start_pos":8,"end_pos":9},{"ner":"3","lemma":"3","label":"NUM","start_pos":10,"end_pos":11},{"ner":"7","lemma":"7","label":"NUM","start_pos":33,"end_pos":34},{"ner":"03","lemma":"03","label":"NUM","start_pos":44,"end_pos":46},{"ner":"52","lemma":"52","label":"NUM","start_pos":47,"end_pos":49}] | NEUTRAL | other | SPAM | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0.947368 | 0.052632 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 6 | true | true |
10 | null | Укрепление рубля, происходящее в последние недели — временное явление. Текущее укрепление не подкреплено фундаментальными факторами — сообщает источник РДВ.
#оракул_рубля #сборник
✍️
Резкое
укрепление
рубля совпало с Китайским новый годом (начался 29 января и закончился 5 февраля) и особенно заметно в юане.
✍️
Торговля РФ
завязывается
на Китай, а торговый баланс с Китаем все больше движется в сторону нуля.
✍️
Блумберг вчера
обратил внимание
, что нефтегазовые доходы бюджета в январе упали до годового минимума.
✍️
Геополитическая активность США направлена в сторону
вытеснения
конкурентов с ключевых для РФ рынков нефти и газа.
👉
Прогноз источников РДВ на конец 2025 года остается неизменным: 15.2 рубля за юань.
https://t.me/AK47pfl/19163
👉
Текущий курс юаня: 13.06
😀
@AK47pfl | https://t.me/AK47pfl/19343?embed=1&mode=tme | https://t.me/ | https://t.me/s/AK47pfl | 22,500 | 0 | 1,738,853,051 | 1,739,441,219 | 0 | 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10 | null | #Политика
🇷🇺
Спецпосланник США по Украине:
•
Трамп
готов ужесточить санкции против России
"для завершения конфликта" на Украине.
• Украине и России для урегулирования придется пойти на уступки. | https://t.me/AK47pfl/19344?embed=1&mode=tme | https://t.me/ | https://t.me/s/AK47pfl | 15,300 | 0 | 1,738,907,578 | 1,739,441,219 | 0 | 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| [{"ner":"США","lemma":"сша","label":"LOC","start_pos":27,"end_pos":30},{"ner":"Украине","lemma":"украина","label":"LOC","start_pos":34,"end_pos":41},{"ner":"Трамп","lemma":"трамп","label":"PER","start_pos":45,"end_pos":50},{"ner":"России","lemma":"россия","label":"LOC","start_pos":83,"end_pos":89},{"ner":"Украине","lemma":"украина","label":"LOC","start_pos":120,"end_pos":127},{"ner":"Украине","lemma":"украина","label":"LOC","start_pos":131,"end_pos":138},{"ner":"России","lemma":"россия","label":"LOC","start_pos":141,"end_pos":147}] | NEUTRAL | rus | NOT SPAM | 28 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 9 | true | true |
10 | null | Главное к открытию пятницы
(07.02):
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Значение индекса ЖиС: 58 (спокойствие). Подробнее об индексе
здесь.
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13.24 ₽/¥, 74.57 $/барр.
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Трамп готов ужесточить санкции против России.
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Песков: Россия и США не обсуждали организацию встречи Путина и Трампа.
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Аналитики спрогнозировали максимальную за 12 лет доходность по дивидендам.
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Потребности компаний для погашения облигаций оценили в 2.1 трлн рублей.
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События сегодня:
(1) ВВП России. (2) Уровень безработицы в России. (3) Результаты по отгрузкам Группы Позитив (POSI). (4) Производственные результаты Южуралзолото (UGLD).
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Что влияет на рынки в ближайшие 5 дней?
Доступно членам
@RDVPREMIUMbot
😀
@AK47pfl | https://t.me/AK47pfl/19345?embed=1&mode=tme | https://t.me/ | https://t.me/s/AK47pfl | 21,200 | 0 | 1,738,909,850 | 1,739,441,219 | 0 | 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| NEUTRAL | rus | SPAM | 97 | 1 | 4 | 0.974026 | 0.025974 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 13 | 32 | 3 | 33 | true | true |
10 | null | ⚡️
Выручка застройщиков московского региона в январе — месяц прошёл достаточно оптимистично.
#цифры
😀
@AK47pfl | https://t.me/AK47pfl/19346?embed=1&mode=tme | https://t.me/ | https://t.me/s/AK47pfl | 19,600 | 0 | 1,738,911,601 | 1,739,441,219 | 0 | 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| [{"ner":"47","lemma":"47","label":"NUM","start_pos":105,"end_pos":107}] | NEUTRAL | rus | NOT SPAM | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0.954545 | 0.045455 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 5 | true | true |
10 | null | Акции китайских технологических компаний игнорируют негатив торговой войны с США и взлетают к максимумам после успеха китайских ИИ.
#шок_новости
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@AK47pfl | https://t.me/AK47pfl/19347?embed=1&mode=tme | https://t.me/ | https://t.me/s/AK47pfl | 18,900 | 0 | 1,738,915,102 | 1,739,441,219 | 0 | 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| [{"ner":"США","lemma":"сша","label":"LOC","start_pos":77,"end_pos":80},{"ner":"47","lemma":"47","label":"NUM","start_pos":150,"end_pos":152}] | NEUTRAL | rus | NOT SPAM | 21 | 0 | 2 | 0.961538 | 0.038462 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | true | true |
10 | null | Самое важное из интервью Bloomberg с новым главой Минфина США.
#VIP_talk
✍️
Крепкий доллар в интересах новой администрации (подозрительно часто эта тема появляется в повестке первых лиц США).
✍️
При этом США против тех стран, которые умышленно занижают курсы своих валют к доллару, чтобы выиграть в торговле с США.
✍️
Намекает, что скоро (1 апреля) Китай может быть снова объявлен манипулятором валютными курсами. США хотят заставить Китай либо
укрепить юань
, либо будут тарифы.
😀
@AK47pfl | https://t.me/AK47pfl/19348?embed=1&mode=tme | https://t.me/ | https://t.me/s/AK47pfl | 47,200 | 0 | 1,738,915,696 | 1,739,441,219 | 0 | 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10 | null | Кэшбэк пришел
Кидайте скрины в комменты под этим постом | https://t.me/ChurakovTrade/10229?embed=1&mode=tme | https://t.me/ | https://t.me/s/ChurakovTrade | 548 | 0 | 1,738,333,930 | 1,739,441,219 | 0 | 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| null | NEUTRAL | rus | NOT SPAM | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | true | true |
10 | null | Получил) спасибо | https://t.me/ChurakovTrade/10230?embed=1&mode=tme | https://t.me/ | https://t.me/s/ChurakovTrade | 541 | 0 | 1,738,338,714 | 1,739,441,219 | 0 | 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| null | POSITIVE | rus | NOT SPAM | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | true | true |
10 | null | Спасибки
☺️ | https://t.me/ChurakovTrade/10231?embed=1&mode=tme | https://t.me/ | https://t.me/s/ChurakovTrade | 572 | 0 | 1,738,338,714 | 1,739,441,219 | 0 | 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| null | POSITIVE | rus | NOT SPAM | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | true | true |
10 | null | Уоррэн Баффет на данный момент находится по максимуму в кэше за последние
35 лет
.
325 млрд
долларов кэша или
30%
общего объема активов лежат и ждут своего часа закупиться.
Видимо старина Уоррен что то чувствует/знает и ожидает сильных движений в рынке (вниз?)
Что думаете по этому поводу? | https://t.me/ProTradingMarkets/1755?embed=1&mode=tme | https://t.me/ | https://t.me/s/ProTradingMarkets | 753 | 0 | 1,734,957,116 | 1,739,441,219 | 0 | 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| [{"ner":"Уоррэн Баффет","lemma":"уоррэн баффет","label":"PER","start_pos":0,"end_pos":13},{"ner":"Уоррен","lemma":"уоррен","label":"PER","start_pos":188,"end_pos":194},{"ner":"35","lemma":"35","label":"NUM","start_pos":74,"end_pos":76},{"ner":"325","lemma":"325","label":"NUM","start_pos":83,"end_pos":86},{"ner":"30","lemma":"30","label":"NUM","start_pos":110,"end_pos":112}] | NEUTRAL | rus | NOT SPAM | 48 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 2 | 7 | true | true |
10 | null | Друзья, всем доброго времени суток.
☃️
Осталась ровно 1 неделя до нового
2025 года
. Надеюсь у многих из вас уже новогоднее радостное настроение.
А на фондовом рынке началось традиционное
Санта - ралли
. Кстати, если оглядываться на прошлые года, то текущее Санта-ралли продлится примерно
до 3 января
.
По такому случаю я к вам с подарками и бонусами
🎁
Все подписчики, вступившие в мой закрытый канал
Опционы+Фьючерсы
до конца текущего года, получат бонусом
+14 дней
к своей подписке.
1 месяц (+14 дней) - 7000р (либо в USDT)
2 месяца (+14 дней) - 12500р (либо в USDT)
По всем вопрос обращайтесь в лс
@tyllika84
‼️
П.С. Первый никому и никогда не пишу. | https://t.me/ProTradingMarkets/1756?embed=1&mode=tme | https://t.me/ | https://t.me/s/ProTradingMarkets | 852 | 0 | 1,735,059,708 | 1,739,441,219 | 0 | 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| [{"ner":"Санта - ралли","lemma":"санта - ралли","label":"PER","start_pos":188,"end_pos":201},{"ner":"Санта-ралли","lemma":"санта-ралли","label":"PER","start_pos":258,"end_pos":269},{"ner":"Опционы+Фьючерсы","lemma":"Опционы+Фьючерсы","label":"ORG","start_pos":401,"end_pos":417},{"ner":"USDT","lemma":"usdt","label":"ORG","start_pos":520,"end_pos":524},{"ner":"USDT","lemma":"usdt","label":"ORG","start_pos":563,"end_pos":567},{"ner":"12500","lemma":"12500","label":"DATE","start_pos":548,"end_pos":553},{"ner":"1","lemma":"1","label":"NUM","start_pos":54,"end_pos":55},{"ner":"2025","lemma":"2025","label":"NUM","start_pos":73,"end_pos":77},{"ner":"3","lemma":"3","label":"NUM","start_pos":292,"end_pos":293},{"ner":"14","lemma":"14","label":"NUM","start_pos":459,"end_pos":461},{"ner":"1","lemma":"1","label":"NUM","start_pos":485,"end_pos":486},{"ner":"14","lemma":"14","label":"NUM","start_pos":495,"end_pos":497},{"ner":"7000","lemma":"7000","label":"NUM","start_pos":506,"end_pos":510},{"ner":"2","lemma":"2","label":"NUM","start_pos":526,"end_pos":527},{"ner":"14","lemma":"14","label":"NUM","start_pos":537,"end_pos":539},{"ner":"84","lemma":"84","label":"NUM","start_pos":609,"end_pos":611}] | NEUTRAL | rus | SPAM | 112 | 0 | 4 | 0.98052 | 0.019481 | 0 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 25 | 5 | 25 | true | true |
10 | null | Здравствуйте друзья.
Вот мы и подобрались к последнему недельному отчету за текущий 2
024 года. Ура!
Хоть эта неделя и была лайтовая, с праздником в среду, но тем не менее нервишки пошатало знатно. Особенно подкинул проблем газ, который держал в напряжении до последней минуты торгов вплоть до экспирации. Но, как говорится наша взяла и 100% премии забрали.
Опционы
:
#
NVDA
1*(31.8*21.05) =
1075
$
#
Si(29.5/29)
4*0.043 =
860
$
#
NG(3.8/4)
4*0.028 =
1120
$
#
AMD
7*0.65 =
455
$
Фьючерсы
:
Акции
:
ИТОГО: 3510$
зафиксированной прибыли за неделю.
А завтра я сделаю титаническую работу (
😁
) и подсчитаю профит по сделкам под отчеты за год, как и просили в комментариях. | https://t.me/ProTradingMarkets/1757?embed=1&mode=tme | https://t.me/ | https://t.me/s/ProTradingMarkets | 631 | 0 | 1,735,479,841 | 1,739,441,219 | 0 | 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| NEUTRAL | rus | SPAM | 116 | 0 | 5 | 0.977401 | 0.022599 | 0 | 8 | 11 | 4 | 16 | 26 | 6 | 25 | true | true |
10 | null | 2-го января будет достигнут текущий лимит потолка гос долга. Сейчас он уже составляет $36 трлн.
Если конгресс США к этому времени не успеет согласовать увеличение потолка, то рынкам будет плохо, в том числе и крипте.
В 2011г #SP500 свалился на 17%
из-за разногласий в конгрессе и несвоевременном увеличении потолка.
Но есть ньюанс, Минфин США собирается закинуть "копеечку" в
$54 млрд,
тем самым отсрочив достижение лимита примерно до середины января.
Ну чтож, ждем очередно представление. Оно обещает быть интересным.
А вообще давно пора просто отменить любой лимит потолка. | https://t.me/ProTradingMarkets/1759?embed=1&mode=tme | https://t.me/ | https://t.me/s/ProTradingMarkets | 655 | 0 | 1,735,498,702 | 1,739,441,219 | 0 | 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| [{"ner":"США","lemma":"сша","label":"LOC","start_pos":110,"end_pos":113},{"ner":"Минфин","lemma":"минфин","label":"ORG","start_pos":332,"end_pos":338},{"ner":"США","lemma":"сша","label":"LOC","start_pos":339,"end_pos":342},{"ner":"2","lemma":"2","label":"NUM","start_pos":0,"end_pos":1},{"ner":"36","lemma":"36","label":"NUM","start_pos":87,"end_pos":89},{"ner":"2011","lemma":"2011","label":"NUM","start_pos":219,"end_pos":223},{"ner":"500","lemma":"500","label":"NUM","start_pos":228,"end_pos":231},{"ner":"17","lemma":"17","label":"NUM","start_pos":244,"end_pos":246},{"ner":"54","lemma":"54","label":"NUM","start_pos":377,"end_pos":379},{"ner":"$54 ","lemma":"$54 ","label":"DATE","start_pos":376,"end_pos":380},{"ner":"$36 ","lemma":"$36 ","label":"DATE","start_pos":86,"end_pos":90}] | NEUTRAL | rus | NOT SPAM | 87 | 0 | 5 | 0.991453 | 0.008547 | 0 | 7 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 29 | 6 | 15 | true | true |
10 | null | #BLK #JPM
🔔
Управляющий капиталом BlackRock
(BLK)
стал последним эмитентом биржевых фондов, который решил повторить успех стратегии JPMorgan
(JPM)
Активно управляемый фонд ETF BlackRock Advantage Large Cap Income, который начал торги в четверг, направлен на отслеживание акций, приносящих дивиденды, в дополнение к продаже опционов- колл на S&P 500 для создания дополнительных потоков выплат.
💼
Новый фонд BlackRock напоминает ETF JPMorgan Equity Premium Income с капитализацией $29 млрд, который стал лидером среди ETF после прошлогоднего сбора размером $13 млрд, побив рекорд, установленный Ark Innovation ETF в 2020 году, и теперь может превзойти эту отметку благодаря притокам средств с начала года на $12,2 млрд.
💰
Инициатива BlackRock вызвала волну фондов-подражателей: Goldman Sachs Group Inc.
(GS)
и REX Shares также подали заявки на создание аналогичных фондов. | https://t.me/Rocket_TRD/1800?embed=1&mode=tme | https://t.me/ | https://t.me/s/Rocket_TRD | 457 | 0 | 1,696,265,481 | 1,739,441,219 | 0 | 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10 | null | Аналитическая записка, 4 октября
Финансовые рынки
🔔
Согласно данным Бюро трудовой статистики, в августе в США насчитывалось 9,61 млн. рабочих мест (8,92 млн в июле). Число увольнений в августе оставалось низким, а наймов — увеличилось. Позитивные данные по рынку труда стали неожиданностью для большинства участников рынка. В этом году рынок труда США регулярно преподносил сюрпризы в сторону увеличения, демонстрируя устойчивость, несмотря на самый быстрый за последние десятилетия цикл повышения процентных ставок.
США
📍
Доходность 30-летних казначейских облигаций США во вторник достигла самого высокого уровня с 2007 года, превысив максимум 2010 года. Доходность «десятилеток» на этой неделе преодолела отметку 4,85%, приблизившись к 5%-му рубежу, который не преодолевался с 2007 года.
Опасения по поводу распродажи облигаций и перспектив повышения ставок привели к дальнейшему падению индексов в Нью-Йорке, которые закрыли сессию вторника в глубоком минусе. Индекс Dow Jones Industrial потерял 1,3%, а S&P 500 — 1,4%. Наибольшие потери понес технологический индекс Nasdaq-100, потеряв сразу -1,8%.
Дополнительную неопределенность в США усилило отстранение Кевина Маккарти с поста спикера Палаты представителей. Впервые в истории Палата представителей США отстранила от должности лидера законодательного органа, и сразу после этого был назначен временный спикер.
Азия
📍
Слабые настроения с Уолл-стрит перекинулись в среду на Азиатско-Тихоокеанский регион, где основные фондовые индексы теряют позиции. Индекс Nikkei упал на 1,8%, достигнув в ходе торговой сессии самого низкого уровня с мая. Южнокорейский Kospi стал главным аутсайдером, снизившись на 2,3%. Гонконгский индекс Hang Seng упал на 1,1%, продолжив распродажу после падения на 3% во вторник. Рынки материкового Китая закрыты из-за праздников.
Европа
📍
В Швейцарии цены продолжили снижаться: индекс потребительских цен (CPI) в сентябре уменьшился на 0,1% м/м. Годовой уровень инфляции составил 1,7%, что вновь ниже целевого показателя Швейцарского национального банка (SNB) в 2%. В связи с этим регулятор оставил ставки без изменений, несмотря на ожидания рынка относительно дальнейшего повышения. | https://t.me/Rocket_TRD/1802?embed=1&mode=tme | https://t.me/ | https://t.me/s/Rocket_TRD | 533 | 0 | 1,696,433,513 | 1,739,441,219 | 0 | 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| NEUTRAL | rus | SPAM | 296 | 0 | 12 | 0.970899 | 0.029101 | 0 | 45 | 33 | 5 | 15 | 103 | 8 | 52 | true | true |
10 | null | ✅
Торговая идея по Яндексу:
■ Тикер: YDEX
■ Идея: Покупка
■ Срок идеи: 2-6 недель
■ Цель: 4295 рублей
■ Потенциал идеи: 5,6%
■ Объём входа: 8%
❗️
Яндекс — это крупнейшая IT-компания в России, чей поисковик входит в пятерку лучших в мире. Она также является владельцем ведущего сервиса онлайн-заказа такси в России, одного из крупнейших маркетплейсов в стране, сервиса доставки еды и продуктов, а также стриминговых платформ
🔥
Инвесторам стоит сейчас обратить внимание на акции Яндекса, так как на этих бумагах есть возможность заработать в ближайшие несколько недель. Вот причины, почему акции Яндекса могут продолжить свой рост:
📌
Компания завершила переезд в Россию и избавилась от убыточных подразделений, что положительно отразится на маржинальности бизнеса и отчёте за 2024 год. Большинство экспертов ждут улучшения финансовых показателей Яндекса и роста его котировок.
📌
Операционная система "YaOS" может стать стандартом на самых популярных телевизорах в России. Сейчас Яндекс ведёт переговоры с крупнейшими китайскими производителями — это также очень хороший драйвер для роста.
📌
Рынок онлайн-торговли в России в 2024 году вырос на 40% по сравнению с 2023 годом и принёс более 13% ВВП. Яндекс при этом является один из главных игроков на рынке, а значит, и одним из главных бенефициаров.
@Russia_Stocks
Нравится ли вам эта идея?
■ Да
👍
■ Нет
🔥
■ Проверю на себе
👀 | https://t.me/Russia_Stocks/4182?embed=1&mode=tme | https://t.me/ | https://t.me/s/Russia_Stocks | 2,500 | 0 | 1,736,924,473 | 1,739,441,219 | 0 | 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| 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| NEUTRAL | rus | NOT SPAM | 216 | 0 | 3 | 0.985816 | 0.014184 | 0 | 19 | 20 | 6 | 14 | 69 | 10 | 35 | true | true |
10 | null | 🇷🇺
Итоговый обзор главных событий дня на нашем рынке:
✅
ВК впервые обогнал YouTube по охватам в декабре 2024 года
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Целевая цена по акциям МосБиржи составляет 250 рублей, апсайд 22% (Промсвязьбанк)
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В 16-й пакет санкций ЕС против РФ могут войти ограничения на поставки российского СПГ
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Компания Ozon запускает услуги автолизинга
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Акции Астры сегодня торгуются последний день с дивидендом 2.644669 рублей
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Bloomberg ожидает ускорение инфляции в РФ по итогам 2024 года до 9,8%.
✅
Сеть Fix Price увеличилась на 751 магазин в 2024 году
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Не стоит ожидать сезонное укрепление рубля в 1 квартале 2025 года (БКС)
✅
Число частных инвесторов на Московской бирже превысило 35 миллионов человек
✅
Танкерные перевозки нефти резко подорожали из-за новых санкций против нефтянки РФ
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Акции ВК поднялись до максимума за 3 месяца
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ВТБ завершил передачу 100% акций ВТБ Лизинг БМ-банку
✅
Норникель вложит 25 млрд руб в проект вскрытия рудника "Северный"
✅
В Госдуме приняли закон о создании «периода охлаждения» по потребкредитам
✅
"Алроса" заявила, что ждет роста цен на алмазы в 2025 году
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В 16-й пакет санкций Евросоюза в отношении России может войти запрет на импорт алюминия
✅
18 февраля "Софтлайн" опубликует финансовые результаты за 4-й квартал
✅
ЦБ РФ понизил курс доллара на завтра до 102,80 рублей
✅
Индекс МосБиржи сегодня на торгах снижается на 0,33%
*Автор обзора: "Russian Stocks"
❗️
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👍 | https://t.me/Russia_Stocks/4184?embed=1&mode=tme | https://t.me/ | https://t.me/s/Russia_Stocks | 2,500 | 0 | 1,736,953,343 | 1,739,441,219 | 0 | 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| NEUTRAL | rus | SPAM | 236 | 0 | 16 | 0.977492 | 0.022508 | 0 | 21 | 26 | 1 | 12 | 82 | 5 | 25 | true | true |
10 | null | «Великолепные» европейские акции. Возможно ли восстановление?
💡
Европейский фондовый рынок доминируется небольшой группой крупных компаний: GSK, Roche, ASML, Nestle, Novartis, Novo Nordisk, L'Oreal, LVMH, Astrazeneca, SAP и Sanofi. Аналитики Goldman Sachs обозначают их аббревиатурой GRANOLAS. В 2024 году группа отстала от широкого рынка и крупнейших американских аналогов, однако в этом году тенденция может развернуться.
Характеристики
11 компаний занимают порядка четверти индекса STOXX 600. GRANOLAS обладают высокими темпами роста, стабильной рентабельностью, а также прочными балансами. Их доминирование также поддерживается потоками в пассивные стратегии, повышенными барьерами для входа на рынок и значительными капитальными и R&D затратами. В целом компании схожи с «великолепной семеркой» в США, хотя и с меньшим участием в тренде ИИ.
GRANOLAS в совокупности показали околонулевую динамику с января прошлого года (YTD). В то же время, остальная часть рынка выросла на 14%. Основными аутсайдерами стали Novo Nordisk (снижение на 42% от пикового значения прошлого года), L'Oréal (-26%), ASML (-26%), Nestlé (-25%) и LVMH (-20%).
Необычные расхождения в 2024 году
• Динамика акций GRANOLAS отстала от роста их прибыли. На этом фоне форвардный P/E группы сократился с 19x до 17.8x. Это свидетельствует о не признании рынком улучшения финансов. Оценка остального рынка выросла.
В итоге обычная премия GRANOLAS к рынку существенно снизилась, несмотря на лучшие фундаментальные характеристики. Показатель рентабельности собственного капитала (ROE) группы все еще почти в 2 раза превышает среднее по рынку (27% против 14%). Это важное преимущество, особенно учитывая, что аналитики ожидают существенного пересмотра маржи на широком рынке в сторону снижения в 2025 году.
• GRANOLAS, обладающие защитными характеристиками, как правило, показывают опережение в периоды замедления экономического роста еврозоны, что мы наблюдали весь прошлый год. В этот раз GRANOLAS отстали от рынка.
• GRANOLAS, как наиболее международный сегмент рынка, должны были получить выгоду от ослабления евро, но рынок это проигнорировал. У группы около 40% выручки приходится на США, и в среднем около 33% их активов находится в Штатах, что также может их сделать бенефициаром внутренней политики Трампа. Валютные стратеги ожидают, что евро в ближайшем будущем продолжит слабеть.
Какие катализаторы для восстановления GRANOLAS?
В 2025 году ожидается, что благодаря нескольким драйверам пройдет восстановление котировок крупнейших компаний. На этом фоне инвесторы, скорее всего, также начнут признавать, что расхождения в 2024 году могли быть не совсем оправданными. Из-за этого GRANOLAS могут наверстать упущенное.
1) Снижение ставок.
GRANOLAS, как активы с относительно длинной дюрацией, склонны показывать слабую динамику при росте доходностей гособлигаций. Недавний рост негативно повлиял на GRANOLAS больше, чем на аналоги. Тем не менее снижения ставок ЕЦБ и ФРС в 2025 году должны несколько снизить давление.
2) Сезон отчетности.
Период является критически важным, так как инвесторы в это время уделяют больше внимания прибыли, чем оценкам. Прогнозы прибыли для группы были пересмотрены вниз сильнее, чем по остальному рынку, что создает более низкую планку для позитивных сюрпризов.
Для компаний со значительной долей бизнеса в Китае (LVMH и L’Oréal) дополнительным катализатором выступает рост уверенности со стороны китайских потребителей. Если GRANOLAS в совокупности смогут продемонстрировать солидные результаты, это, вероятно, укрепит доверие инвесторов и приведет к пересмотру их оценок в сторону повышения.
Как занять экспозицию?
Акции GRANOLAS можно приобрести по отдельности. Также стоит присмотреться к покупкам фондов на индекс STOXX 50, например iShares Core EURO STOXX 50 UCITS ETF #EUE, в котором крупнейшие компании занимают порядка 37.5%. Отдельных фондов на GRANOLAS пока не создано.
#аналитика #акции #Европа
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| NEUTRAL | rus | NOT SPAM | 540 | 0 | 46 | 0.922078 | 0.077922 | 0 | 68 | 62 | 15 | 19 | 163 | 27 | 124 | true | true |
10 | null | ❗
Карта Фондового Рынка АКЦИЙ MOEX на 11.02.2025 11:15:15
#биржа #акции_разбор_компаний #технический_анализ | https://t.me/all_stocks_moex/7264?embed=1&mode=tme | https://t.me/ | https://t.me/s/all_stocks_moex | 174 | 0 | 1,739,261,716 | 1,739,441,219 | 0 | 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| [{"ner":"АКЦИЙ","lemma":"акций","label":"ORG","start_pos":24,"end_pos":29},{"ner":"11.02.2025","lemma":"11.02.2025","label":"DATE","start_pos":38,"end_pos":48},{"ner":"15:15","lemma":"15:15","label":"DATE","start_pos":52,"end_pos":57},{"ner":"25 11","lemma":"25 11","label":"DATE","start_pos":46,"end_pos":51},{"ner":"02","lemma":"02","label":"NUM","start_pos":41,"end_pos":43},{"ner":"2025","lemma":"2025","label":"NUM","start_pos":44,"end_pos":48},{"ner":"11","lemma":"11","label":"NUM","start_pos":49,"end_pos":51},{"ner":"15","lemma":"15","label":"NUM","start_pos":55,"end_pos":57}] | NEUTRAL | rus | SPAM | 12 | 0 | 2 | 0.941177 | 0.058824 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | true | true |
10 | null | ↕️
Акции в зоне перекупленности и перепроданности:
Арсагера (ARSA)
🔺
7.53
АстрЭнСб (ASSB)
🔺
9.76
Эталон (ETLN)
🔺
2.23
Globaltrans (GLTR)
🔻
99.48
ТНСэКубань (KBSB)
🔺
5.34
КамчатЭ п (KCHEP)
🔺
5.60
РСетСибирь (MRKS)
🔺
6.09
РоссЮг (MRKY)
🔺
5.90
РСетиСЗ (MRKZ)
🔺
1.95
РСетиМР (MSRS)
🔺
8.75
НКНХ (NKNC)
🔺
11.24
ТНСэнНН (NNSB)
🔺
6.94
ТНСэнНН п (NNSBP)
🔺
5.17
НаукаСвяз (NSVZ)
🔺
1.85
ОМЗ п (OMZZP)
🔺
8.32
Позитив (POSI)
🔺
5.00
QIWI (QIWI)
🔺
8.29
Ренессанс (RENI)
🔺
2.97
РГС СК (RGSS)
🔺
2.17
ЭнергияРКК (RKKE)
🔺
5.93
Газпром РнД (RTGZ)
🔺
9.59
ТНСэнРст п (RTSBP)
🔺
3.17
СаратЭн (SARE)
🔺
3.74
СаратЭн п (SAREP)
🔺
1.06
Софтлайн (SOFL)
🔺
0.32
Светофор (SVET)
🔺
4.36
ТамбовЭнСб (TASB)
🔺
4.68
ТГК-2 (TGKB)
🔺
1.29
ТРК (TORS)
🔺
0.95
ТРК п (TORSP)
🔺
7.65
ВХЗ (VLHZ)
🔺
9.16
ТНСэнВорон (VRSB)
🔺
2.98
ТНСэнВор п (VRSBP)
🔺
4.65
ВыбСудЗ (VSYD)
🔺
8.03
Якутскэнерг (YKEN)
🔺
11.65
ТНСэнЯр (YRSB)
🔺
2.27
Диасофт (DIAS)
🔺
1.12
ПАО ИВА (IVAT)
🔺
2.68
АПРИ (APRI)
🔺
8.01
Хэдхантер (HEAD)
🔺
6.54
ЛЭСК ао (LPSB)
🔺
9.43
ОВК ао (UWGN)
🔺
4.96
Ξ Как торговать в зонах перекупленности и перепроданности?
#инвестициивфондовыйрынок #акцииразборкомпаний #акцииmoex | https://t.me/all_stocks_moex/7266?embed=1&mode=tme | https://t.me/ | https://t.me/s/all_stocks_moex | 164 | 0 | 1,739,264,476 | 1,739,441,219 | 0 | 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| NEUTRAL | other | NOT SPAM | 198 | 0 | 57 | 0.892086 | 0.105516 | 0.002398 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 84 | 15 | 2 | 91 | true | true |
10 | null | 👁
Комплексный технический и индикативный анализ
#TGKBP
Ξ Как использовать?
Данные обновляются в боте по всему списку акций Московской биржи
#акцииторговыеидеи #биржа #stoks | https://t.me/all_stocks_moex/7267?embed=1&mode=tme | https://t.me/ | https://t.me/s/all_stocks_moex | 164 | 0 | 1,739,275,226 | 1,739,441,219 | 0 | 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| [{"ner":"Комплексный технический и индикативный анализ\n#TGKBP\nΞ","lemma":"комплексный технический и индикативный анализ\n#tgkbp\nξ","label":"ORG","start_pos":2,"end_pos":56},{"ner":"Московской биржи","lemma":"московский биржа","label":"ORG","start_pos":123,"end_pos":139}] | NEUTRAL | rus | NOT SPAM | 23 | 0 | 2 | 0.909091 | 0.060606 | 0.030303 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 3 | true | true |
10 | null | ❎
Пересечение скользящих средних EMA:
ТНСэКубань (KBSB)
🔺
50 X 200
МордЭнСб (MRSB)
🔺
20 X 50
Транснеф п (TRNFP)
🔺
20 X 50
ТЗА (TUZA)
🔻
20 X 50
УралСиб (USBN)
🔺
20 X 200
Займер (ZAYM)
🔺
20 X 50
Ξ Как торговать пересечения EMA?
#акциисигналы #финансоваяграмотность #теханализ | https://t.me/all_stocks_moex/7268?embed=1&mode=tme | https://t.me/ | https://t.me/s/all_stocks_moex | 201 | 0 | 1,739,278,575 | 1,739,441,219 | 0 | 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SPAM | 50 | 0 | 16 | 0.829545 | 0.159091 | 0.011364 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 17 | true | true |
10 | null | 🇷🇺
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в России и во всём мире. По каждому подробная информация: показатели доходности, успешность прогнозов и история рекомендаций по каждой акции. Уникальный инструмент, доступный на русском языке. | https://t.me/bs_rudiv/1070?embed=1&mode=tme | https://t.me/ | https://t.me/s/bs_rudiv | 712 | 0 | 1,733,725,802 | 1,739,441,219 | 0 | 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| NEUTRAL | rus | SPAM | 116 | 0 | 1 | 0.988304 | 0.011696 | 0 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 14 | 34 | 0 | 43 | true | true |
10 | null | 🇷🇺
Какие акции российских компаний нужно купить сегодня, чтобы получить дивиденды?
Мордовская энергосбытовая компания
• Доходность: 10,68%
• Цена акции: 0.866 ₽
• Купить до: 09.12.2024
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Дивиденды России
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•
Дивиденды США | https://t.me/bs_rudiv/1071?embed=1&mode=tme | https://t.me/ | https://t.me/s/bs_rudiv | 700 | 0 | 1,733,727,603 | 1,739,441,219 | 0 | 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| [{"ner":"BestStocks","lemma":"beststocks","label":"ORG","start_pos":233,"end_pos":243},{"ner":"США","lemma":"сша","label":"LOC","start_pos":286,"end_pos":289},{"ner":"США","lemma":"сша","label":"LOC","start_pos":302,"end_pos":305},{"ner":"09.12.2024","lemma":"09.12.2024","label":"DATE","start_pos":174,"end_pos":184},{"ner":"10,68","lemma":"10,68","label":"DATE","start_pos":132,"end_pos":137},{"ner":"68","lemma":"68","label":"NUM","start_pos":135,"end_pos":137},{"ner":"0","lemma":"0","label":"NUM","start_pos":153,"end_pos":154},{"ner":"866","lemma":"866","label":"NUM","start_pos":155,"end_pos":158},{"ner":"12","lemma":"12","label":"NUM","start_pos":177,"end_pos":179},{"ner":"2024","lemma":"2024","label":"NUM","start_pos":180,"end_pos":184}] | NEUTRAL | rus | SPAM | 45 | 0 | 2 | 0.985714 | 0.014286 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 1 | 13 | true | true |
10 | null | 🇷🇺
Утвержденные дивиденды
Хэдхантер
• Дивиденд: 907 ₽
• Доходность:
🔥
21,14%
• Период: 9 месяцев
• Купить до: 16 декабря 2024
• Закрытие реестра: 17 декабря 2024
• Выплата: 31 декабря 2024
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@bs_rudiv | https://t.me/bs_rudiv/1072?embed=1&mode=tme | https://t.me/ | https://t.me/s/bs_rudiv | 2,400 | 0 | 1,733,730,378 | 1,739,441,219 | 0 | 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•
Дивиденды РФ | https://t.me/bs_usadiv/581?embed=1&mode=tme | https://t.me/ | https://t.me/s/bs_usadiv | 331 | 0 | 1,734,591,615 | 1,739,441,219 | 0 | 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| NEUTRAL | other | SPAM | 127 | 0 | 4 | 0.853081 | 0.146919 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 41 | 2 | 48 | true | true |
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•
Дивиденды РФ | https://t.me/bs_usadiv/582?embed=1&mode=tme | https://t.me/ | https://t.me/s/bs_usadiv | 301 | 0 | 1,734,935,708 | 1,739,441,219 | 0 | 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| NEUTRAL | other | SPAM | 131 | 0 | 2 | 0.872642 | 0.127359 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 19 | 33 | 1 | 51 | true | true |
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Portland General Electric Company
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•
Дивиденды РФ | https://t.me/bs_usadiv/583?embed=1&mode=tme | https://t.me/ | https://t.me/s/bs_usadiv | 339 | 0 | 1,734,937,207 | 1,739,441,219 | 0 | 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| [{"ner":"Portland General Electric Company","lemma":"portland general electric company","label":"ORG","start_pos":47,"end_pos":80},{"ner":"США","lemma":"сша","label":"LOC","start_pos":236,"end_pos":239},{"ner":"РФ","lemma":"рф","label":"LOC","start_pos":252,"end_pos":254},{"ner":"44,03","lemma":"44,03","label":"DATE","start_pos":116,"end_pos":121},{"ner":"1","lemma":"1","label":"NUM","start_pos":95,"end_pos":96},{"ner":"14","lemma":"14","label":"NUM","start_pos":97,"end_pos":99},{"ner":"03","lemma":"03","label":"NUM","start_pos":119,"end_pos":121},{"ner":"$44,03","lemma":"$44,03","label":"DATE","start_pos":115,"end_pos":121}] | NEUTRAL | rus | NOT SPAM | 36 | 0 | 2 | 0.924528 | 0.075472 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 2 | 8 | true | true |
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•
Дивиденды РФ | https://t.me/bs_usadiv/584?embed=1&mode=tme | https://t.me/ | https://t.me/s/bs_usadiv | 296 | 0 | 1,735,110,007 | 1,739,441,219 | 0 | 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| NEUTRAL | other | SPAM | 85 | 0 | 2 | 0.875 | 0.125 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 29 | 2 | 35 | true | true |
10 | null | 🚚
Рекомендованы дивиденды НКХП за 9 мес. 2024 г.
#NKHP
Цена акции:
699,5 руб.
Дивиденд на акцию:
17,12 руб.
Дивидендная доходность:
2,45%
Последний день покупки:
13 декабря
2024
Дата закрытия реестра:
16 декабря
2024
❗️
Собрание акционеров назначено на 5 декабря
2024 г. | https://t.me/finglobal/308?embed=1&mode=tme | https://t.me/ | https://t.me/s/finglobal | 88 | 0 | 1,730,818,100 | 1,739,441,219 | 0 | 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true | true |
10 | null | 🌱
Рекомендованы дивиденды ФосАгро
#PHOR
Цена акции:
5123 руб.
Дивиденд на акцию:
249 руб.
Дивидендная доходность: 4
,86%
Последний день покупки:
19 декабря 2024
Дата закрытия реестра:
22 декабря 2024
❗️
Собрание акционеров назначено на 11 декабря 2024 г. | https://t.me/finglobal/309?embed=1&mode=tme | https://t.me/ | https://t.me/s/finglobal | 82 | 0 | 1,730,989,938 | 1,739,441,219 | 0 | 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| [{"ner":"ФосАгро\n#PHOR\nЦена","lemma":"фосагро\n#phor\nцена","label":"ORG","start_pos":26,"end_pos":44},{"ner":"19 декабря 2024","lemma":"19 декабря 2024","label":"DATE","start_pos":145,"end_pos":160},{"ner":"11 декабря 2024","lemma":"11 декабря 2024","label":"DATE","start_pos":236,"end_pos":251},{"ner":"22 декабря 2024","lemma":"22 декабря 2024","label":"DATE","start_pos":184,"end_pos":199},{"ner":"5123","lemma":"5123","label":"NUM","start_pos":52,"end_pos":56},{"ner":"249","lemma":"249","label":"NUM","start_pos":81,"end_pos":84},{"ner":"4","lemma":"4","label":"NUM","start_pos":114,"end_pos":115},{"ner":"86","lemma":"86","label":"NUM","start_pos":117,"end_pos":119},{"ner":"2024","lemma":"2024","label":"NUM","start_pos":156,"end_pos":160},{"ner":"2024","lemma":"2024","label":"NUM","start_pos":195,"end_pos":199},{"ner":"2024","lemma":"2024","label":"NUM","start_pos":247,"end_pos":251}] | NEUTRAL | rus | SPAM | 39 | 0 | 1 | 0.983871 | 0.016129 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 0 | 7 | true | true |
10 | null | 🛢️
Рекомендованы промежуточные дивиденды Роснефти за 1 пол. 2024 г.
#ROSN
Цена акции:
481,5 руб.
Дивиденд на акцию:
36,47 руб.
Дивидендная доходность:
7,57%
Последний день покупки:
9 января 2025
Дата закрытия реестра:
10 января 2025
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Дата проведения общего собрания акционеров - 23 декабря 2024 г. | https://t.me/finglobal/310?embed=1&mode=tme | https://t.me/ | https://t.me/s/finglobal | 95 | 0 | 1,731,162,491 | 1,739,441,219 | 0 | 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true | true |
10 | null | 🥇
Рекомендованы дивиденды Лензолото за 9 мес. 2024 г.
#LNZL #LNZLP
Цена акции:
12 110,0 руб.
Дивиденд на прив-ю акцию:
1 184 руб.
Дивидендная доходность:
9,78%
Последний день покупки:
26 декабря 2024
Закрытие реестра:
27 декабря
2024
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Дата проведения собрания акционеров акционеров - 16 декабря
2024 г. | https://t.me/finglobal/311?embed=1&mode=tme | https://t.me/ | https://t.me/s/finglobal | 103 | 0 | 1,731,524,905 | 1,739,441,219 | 0 | 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10 | null | 🏦
Акционеры ТКС Холдинг утвердили дивиденды за 9 мес. 2024 г.
#TCSG
Текущая дивидендная доходность составляет 3,62%. | https://t.me/finglobal/312?embed=1&mode=tme | https://t.me/ | https://t.me/s/finglobal | 94 | 0 | 1,731,812,279 | 1,739,441,219 | 0 | 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| [{"ner":"ТКС Холдинг","lemma":"ткс холдинг","label":"ORG","start_pos":12,"end_pos":23},{"ner":"9","lemma":"9","label":"NUM","start_pos":47,"end_pos":48},{"ner":"2024","lemma":"2024","label":"NUM","start_pos":54,"end_pos":58},{"ner":"3","lemma":"3","label":"NUM","start_pos":110,"end_pos":111},{"ner":"62","lemma":"62","label":"NUM","start_pos":112,"end_pos":114}] | NEUTRAL | rus | SPAM | 17 | 0 | 2 | 0.958333 | 0.041667 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 3 | true | true |
10 | null | #orderbook (
инструкция
)
•
ФосАгро
$PHOR
, 1 эшелон
• Заявка на
покупку
объемом
87.4 млн. руб.
• Цена:
7200 руб. | https://t.me/moex_info/11842?embed=1&mode=tme | https://t.me/ | https://t.me/s/moex_info | 4,200 | 0 | 1,738,828,947 | 1,739,441,219 | 0 | 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| [{"ner":"#","lemma":"#","label":"CARDINAL","start_pos":0,"end_pos":1}] | NEUTRAL | eng | NOT SPAM | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true |
10 | null | #positioning_individuals (
инструкция
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| [{"ner":"#positioning_individuals","lemma":"#positioning_individual","label":"MONEY","start_pos":0,"end_pos":24}] | NEUTRAL | other | NOT SPAM | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.857143 | 0.142857 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | true | true |
10 | null | #positioning_entities (
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| [{"ner":"#","lemma":"#","label":"CARDINAL","start_pos":0,"end_pos":1}] | NEUTRAL | other | NOT SPAM | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.857143 | 0.142857 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | true | true |
10 | null | 👋
Здравствуйте!
Утро — отличный шанс задать позитивный настрой на весь день. Начни с улыбки!
Уровни Pivot на сегодня: 11.02.2025
#NAH5
📊
Дневной Pivot: 21682
Поддержка:
1-й уровень поддержки: 21590
2-й уровень поддержки: 21435
Сопротивление:
1-й уровень сопротивления: 21837
2-й уровень сопротивления: 21929
⚖️
Линия баланса:
21691
❗️
НАПОМИНАНИЕ:
В 9:50 на
Общем канале
- выйдет обзор экономических событий и новостей на сегодня.
Ξ Что такое PIVOT? | https://t.me/nasd_moex/8550?embed=1&mode=tme | https://t.me/ | https://t.me/s/nasd_moex | 45 | 0 | 1,739,256,302 | 1,739,441,219 | 0 | 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| 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| NEUTRAL | rus | SPAM | 67 | 0 | 5 | 0.954128 | 0.036697 | 0.009174 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 27 | 0 | 19 | true | true |
10 | null | 🔍
Зафиксирован SQUAT bar
#squat
⚡️
ПРЕВЫШЕНИЕ в 3.51 раза объема торгов
#NAH5
(таймфрейм - 5 минут)
🔺
Зафиксированный объём торгов:
1,453
лот
🔹
Среднее значение объёма торгов: 414 лот
👌
Диапазон
Открытия - Закрытия
свечи не превышает среднее значение.
Ξ Что такое SQUAT bar? | https://t.me/nasd_moex/8551?embed=1&mode=tme | https://t.me/ | https://t.me/s/nasd_moex | 38 | 0 | 1,739,257,566 | 1,739,441,219 | 0 | 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| [{"ner":"Диапазон\nОткрытия - Закрытия","lemma":"диапазон\nоткрытия - закрытие","label":"LOC","start_pos":187,"end_pos":215},{"ner":"SQUAT bar","lemma":"squat bar","label":"ORG","start_pos":265,"end_pos":274},{"ner":"3","lemma":"3","label":"NUM","start_pos":48,"end_pos":49},{"ner":"51","lemma":"51","label":"NUM","start_pos":50,"end_pos":52},{"ner":"5","lemma":"5","label":"NUM","start_pos":77,"end_pos":78},{"ner":"5","lemma":"5","label":"NUM","start_pos":92,"end_pos":93},{"ner":"1","lemma":"1","label":"NUM","start_pos":133,"end_pos":134},{"ner":"453","lemma":"453","label":"NUM","start_pos":135,"end_pos":138},{"ner":"414","lemma":"414","label":"NUM","start_pos":177,"end_pos":180}] | NEUTRAL | rus | NOT SPAM | 45 | 0 | 5 | 0.902778 | 0.083333 | 0.013889 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 0 | 10 | true | true |
10 | null | ❗️
Анализ графика Крестики-Нолики
#NAH5
Обновление каждые 30 минут в Боте
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Ξ Что такое Крестики-Нолики?
#срочныйрынок #трейдинг #фьючерснаиндексNASDAQ | https://t.me/nasd_moex/8552?embed=1&mode=tme | https://t.me/ | https://t.me/s/nasd_moex | 35 | 0 | 1,739,259,225 | 1,739,441,219 | 0 | 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| [{"ner":"Крестики-Нолики","lemma":"крестик-нолик","label":"LOC","start_pos":18,"end_pos":33},{"ner":"Боте","lemma":"бот","label":"LOC","start_pos":69,"end_pos":73},{"ner":"Крестики-Нолики","lemma":"крестик-нолик","label":"LOC","start_pos":88,"end_pos":103},{"ner":"5","lemma":"5","label":"NUM","start_pos":38,"end_pos":39},{"ner":"30","lemma":"30","label":"NUM","start_pos":58,"end_pos":60}] | NEUTRAL | rus | NOT SPAM | 19 | 0 | 2 | 0.942857 | 0.028571 | 0.028571 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 6 | true | true |
10 | null | #NAH5
сигнал на ПОКУПКУ (2 часа)
↗️
✦ Цена на момент сигнала: 21669,
✦ Минимальный Stop: 21563,
✦ Минимальный Take: 21987 или сигнал на ПРОДАЖУ
🔗
Серия убыточных сделок подряд:
-1
RSI: 53
CCI: 6
Ст. отклонение: 0.04
📑
Результативность стратегии ВДР:
(с начала текущей недели)
Прибыль:
1.84%
Сделки:
Всего: 2, Прибыльных: 1 (50.00%)
🎯
Рассчитать доходность
этой или другой сделки
(раздел "Полезное" - "Калькулятор")
Ξ Как использовать сигналы?
#фьючеры_торговые_сигналы #стратегия #индексNASDAQ | https://t.me/nasd_moex/8553?embed=1&mode=tme | https://t.me/ | https://t.me/s/nasd_moex | 36 | 0 | 1,739,264,405 | 1,739,441,219 | 0 | 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10 | null | #NAH5
сигнал на ПРОДАЖУ (30 минут)
↘️
✦ Цена на момент сигнала: 21651,
✦ Минимальный Stop: 21692,
✦ Минимальный Take: 21528 или сигнал на ПОКУПКУ
🔗
Серия убыточных сделок подряд:
-1
RSI: 44
CCI: -92
Ст. отклонение: -1.2
📑
Результативность стратегии ВДР:
(с начала текущей недели)
Убыток:
-7.10%
Сделки:
Всего: 5, Прибыльных: 2 (40.00%)
🎯
Рассчитать доходность
этой или другой сделки
(раздел "Полезное" - "Калькулятор")
Ξ Как использовать сигналы?
#трейдер #фьючерсыmoex #фьючерс_NASDAQ | https://t.me/nasd_moex/8554?embed=1&mode=tme | https://t.me/ | https://t.me/s/nasd_moex | 34 | 0 | 1,739,268,066 | 1,739,441,219 | 0 | 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0.954545 | 0.037879 | 0.007576 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 22 | 2 | 39 | true | true |
10 | null | AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc (
$AMC
)
Минусы:
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Еще до коронавируса у компании не было роста выручки. Он а работала на грани прибыльности
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В 2кв20 выручка упала на 99% из-за пандемии. Компания убыточна и останется убыточной в следующие 4 года по прогнозам консенсуса. Есть риск банкротства.
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Долговая нагрузка - 5,6 чистый долг/EBITDA
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Рейтинг аналитиков падает последние полгода, консенсус "продавать"
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Акции на 30% выше целевых цен консенсуса
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Отменили дивиденды из-за коронавируса
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30% акций - в коротких позициях | https://t.me/oneticker/100?embed=1&mode=tme | https://t.me/ | https://t.me/s/oneticker | 1,500 | 0 | 1,605,859,248 | 1,739,441,219 | 0 | 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10 | null | Astronics Corp (
$ATRO
)
Минусы:
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Компания - поставщик Boeing. Из-за проблем компании с 737 max и коронавируса, Astronics остался без заказов и его финансовое положение стремительно ухудшается.
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Выручка и прибыль падают последние 4 квартала. Компания сейчас убыточна
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Долговая нагрузка растет - уже 2,5 чистый долг/EBITDA
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Аналитики понижают рейтинг бумаги последние полгода. Консенсус "продавать".
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По прогнозам консенсуса, в 2020 компания покажет большой убыток впервые за много лет. Прибыль не восстановится до уровней 2019 даже за 5 лет.
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Очень маленькая компания - капитализация 200млн$ | https://t.me/oneticker/96?embed=1&mode=tme | https://t.me/ | https://t.me/s/oneticker | 1,700 | 0 | 1,605,427,249 | 1,739,441,219 | 0 | 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| [{"ner":"Astronics Corp","lemma":"Astronics Corp","label":"ORG","start_pos":0,"end_pos":14},{"ner":"Boeing","lemma":"Boeing","label":"ORG","start_pos":56,"end_pos":62},{"ner":"737","lemma":"737","label":"CARDINAL","start_pos":89,"end_pos":92},{"ner":"max","lemma":"max","label":"PER","start_pos":93,"end_pos":96},{"ner":"Astronics","lemma":"Astronics","label":"ORG","start_pos":113,"end_pos":122},{"ner":"положение","lemma":"положение","label":"NORP","start_pos":160,"end_pos":169},{"ner":"стремительно ухудшается","lemma":"стремительно ухудшается","label":"PER","start_pos":170,"end_pos":193},{"ner":"последние 4","lemma":"последние 4","label":"ORG","start_pos":222,"end_pos":233},{"ner":"Долговая","lemma":"Долговая","label":"LOC","start_pos":271,"end_pos":279},{"ner":"2,5","lemma":"2,5","label":"CARDINAL","start_pos":302,"end_pos":305},{"ner":"последние","lemma":"последние","label":"ORG","start_pos":361,"end_pos":370},{"ner":"Консенсус","lemma":"Консенсус","label":"ORG","start_pos":380,"end_pos":389},{"ner":"2020","lemma":"2020","label":"CARDINAL","start_pos":432,"end_pos":436},{"ner":"большой убыток","lemma":"большой убыток","label":"PER","start_pos":454,"end_pos":468},{"ner":"2019","lemma":"2019","label":"DATE","start_pos":527,"end_pos":531},{"ner":"5 лет","lemma":"5 лет","label":"CARDINAL","start_pos":540,"end_pos":545},{"ner":"Очень","lemma":"Очень","label":"PER","start_pos":549,"end_pos":554},{"ner":"200млн$","lemma":"200млн$","label":"CARDINAL","start_pos":590,"end_pos":597},{"ner":"4","lemma":"4","label":"NUM","start_pos":232,"end_pos":233},{"ner":"5","lemma":"5","label":"NUM","start_pos":304,"end_pos":305}] | NEUTRAL | rus | SPAM | 89 | 0 | 2 | 0.942149 | 0.057851 | 0 | 10 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 31 | 6 | 21 | true | true |
10 | null | Snap Inc (
$SNAP
)
Плюсы:
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Нет долговой нагрузки
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Выручка росла по 40+% в год до коронавируса. В 1кв20 рост упал до 17%
Минусы:
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Компания убыточна. Денежный поток отрицательный. Останется такой еще до 2022 года, если верить аналитикам
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Узкая целевая аудитория сервиса, по сравнению с Twitter и Facebook
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Торгуется очень дорого - мультипликатор P/S около 16. | https://t.me/oneticker/97?embed=1&mode=tme | https://t.me/ | https://t.me/s/oneticker | 1,800 | 0 | 1,605,513,662 | 1,739,441,219 | 0 | 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| [{"ner":"Snap Inc","lemma":"Snap Inc","label":"ORG","start_pos":0,"end_pos":8},{"ner":"40+%","lemma":"40+%","label":"PRODUCT","start_pos":69,"end_pos":73},{"ner":"1кв20","lemma":"1кв20","label":"CARDINAL","start_pos":99,"end_pos":104},{"ner":"17%","lemma":"17%","label":"PERCENT","start_pos":118,"end_pos":121},{"ner":"2022","lemma":"2022","label":"DATE","start_pos":204,"end_pos":208},{"ner":"аудитория сервиса","lemma":"аудитория сервиса","label":"PER","start_pos":254,"end_pos":271},{"ner":"Twitter","lemma":"Twitter","label":"PRODUCT","start_pos":288,"end_pos":295},{"ner":"Торгуется очень","lemma":"Торгуется очень","label":"PER","start_pos":309,"end_pos":324},{"ner":"16","lemma":"16","label":"CARDINAL","start_pos":359,"end_pos":361},{"ner":"20","lemma":"20","label":"NUM","start_pos":102,"end_pos":104}] | NEUTRAL | rus | SPAM | 61 | 0 | 4 | 0.91954 | 0.08046 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 2 | 14 | true | true |
10 | null | ConocoPhillips (
$COP
)
Плюсы:
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Высокий рейтинг аналитиков
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Новое соглашение ОПЕК+ необходимо всему рынку, поэтому акции могут расти на прогрессе по сделке
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Стабильно платит дивиденды и делает выкуп акций с рынка. Текущая дивидендная доходность около 5,5%
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Низкий уровень долга, намного лучше чем у многих остальных сланцевых компаний США
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Мощный положительный денежный поток
Минусы:
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По оценкам аналитиков, по результатам 2020 компанию ждет убыток в $1 млрд. Выручка и прибыль будет восстанавливаться очень медленно и за 3 года не вернется к уровням 2019
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Во втором квартале денежный поток стал отрицательным
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Цены на нефть не имеют больше заметного потенциала к росту с текущих уровней
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Сильно зависит от динамики мировых цен на нефть. | https://t.me/oneticker/98?embed=1&mode=tme | https://t.me/ | https://t.me/s/oneticker | 1,600 | 0 | 1,605,686,456 | 1,739,441,219 | 0 | 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10 | null | Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc Class A (
$SPCE
)
Минусы:
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Акции торгуются иррационально дорого и очень волатильны. Сейчас динамикой котировок движет только интерес инвесторов к новым технологиям и хайп. Фундаментальные показатели компании никого не интересуют
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Нет выручки
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Компания убыточна | https://t.me/oneticker/99?embed=1&mode=tme | https://t.me/ | https://t.me/s/oneticker | 1,600 | 0 | 1,605,772,815 | 1,739,441,219 | 0 | 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| [{"ner":"Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc Class","lemma":"Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc Class","label":"ORG","start_pos":0,"end_pos":34},{"ner":"SPCE","lemma":"spce","label":"ORG","start_pos":40,"end_pos":44},{"ner":"очень волатильны","lemma":"очень волатильны","label":"PER","start_pos":96,"end_pos":112},{"ner":"интерес инвесторов","lemma":"интерес инвесторов","label":"PER","start_pos":155,"end_pos":173},{"ner":"никого не","lemma":"никого не","label":"PER","start_pos":238,"end_pos":247}] | NEUTRAL | rus | NOT SPAM | 42 | 0 | 2 | 0.872727 | 0.127273 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 8 | true | true |
10 | null | Выручка CarMoney
в 2023 году достигла 3,2 млрд руб., что на 18% выше показателя прошлого года
Показатель OIBDA
увеличился на 9% г/г, достигнув 1,9 млрд рублей
Чистая прибыль
выросла на 42% г/г и составила 554 млн руб | https://t.me/ru_stocks_ru/165?embed=1&mode=tme | https://t.me/ | https://t.me/s/ru_stocks_ru | 717 | 0 | 1,712,130,535 | 1,739,441,219 | 0 | 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| [{"ner":"CarMoney","lemma":"carmoney","label":"ORG","start_pos":8,"end_pos":16},{"ner":"2023","lemma":"2023","label":"NUM","start_pos":19,"end_pos":23},{"ner":"3","lemma":"3","label":"NUM","start_pos":38,"end_pos":39},{"ner":"2","lemma":"2","label":"NUM","start_pos":40,"end_pos":41},{"ner":"18","lemma":"18","label":"NUM","start_pos":60,"end_pos":62},{"ner":"9","lemma":"9","label":"NUM","start_pos":125,"end_pos":126},{"ner":"1","lemma":"1","label":"NUM","start_pos":143,"end_pos":144},{"ner":"9","lemma":"9","label":"NUM","start_pos":145,"end_pos":146},{"ner":"42","lemma":"42","label":"NUM","start_pos":185,"end_pos":187},{"ner":"554","lemma":"554","label":"NUM","start_pos":205,"end_pos":208}] | NEUTRAL | rus | SPAM | 37 | 0 | 1 | 0.960784 | 0.039216 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 0 | 4 | true | true |
10 | null | ✅
Торговая идея: Fix Price
■ Тикер: FIXP
■ Идея: Покупка
■ Срок идеи: 1-2 месяца
■ Цель: 339 рублей
■ Потенциал идеи: 9,2%
■ Объем входа: 7%
■ Стоп-заявка: 292 рубля
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Технический анализ
:
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Акции Fix Price отскочили от важного уровня поддержи и на больших объёмах продолжили свой восходящий тренд. Идея на рост акций с целью 339 рублей.
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При объеме позиции на покупку в 7% и выставлении стоп-заявки на уровне 292 рубля, риск на портфель составит 0,26%. Соотношение прибыль/риск при этом составляет 2,4.
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Фундаментальный фактор
:
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Fix Price является лидером российского рынка среди ритейлеров, оперирующих в сегменте магазинов фиксированных цен. На данный момент компания имеет 6414 магазинов в России и в ближайшем зарубежье.
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Наиболее сильная сторона Fix Price — это потенциал роста бизнеса. Ритейлер имеет хорошие шансы выполнить свой план по открытию 750 новых магазинов уже в этом 2024 году.
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Кроме того, в течение ближайших лет Fix Price планирует открывать по 700–800 новых магазинов, а общий потенциал магазинов в РФ и ближайшем зарубежье менеджмент оценивает в 18600 штук против текущих 6414.
Нравится ли вам эта идея?
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■ Проверю на себе
❤️ | https://t.me/ru_stocks_ru/166?embed=1&mode=tme | https://t.me/ | https://t.me/s/ru_stocks_ru | 689 | 0 | 1,712,133,477 | 1,739,441,219 | 0 | 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| NEUTRAL | rus | SPAM | 195 | 0 | 2 | 0.958175 | 0.041825 | 0 | 18 | 14 | 5 | 20 | 70 | 2 | 32 | true | true |
10 | null | #геополитика
Белый дом сообщил об освобождении в РФ американского гражданина Марка Фогела
В Белом доме заявили, что спецпосланник Уиткофф посетил Москву, чтобы договориться о возвращении заключенного в России американца Фогеля, он уже в самолете
После возвращения осужденного в России американца Фогеля Трамп выразил надежду, что между Москвой и Вашингтоном сложатся отношения, которые позволят завершить украинский конфликт – РИА
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трамп","label":"PER","start_pos":296,"end_pos":308},{"ner":"Москвой","lemma":"москва","label":"LOC","start_pos":336,"end_pos":343},{"ner":"Вашингтоном","lemma":"вашингтон","label":"LOC","start_pos":346,"end_pos":357},{"ner":"РИА\n@russia_companies","lemma":"риа\n@russia_companies","label":"ORG","start_pos":427,"end_pos":448}] | NEUTRAL | rus | NOT SPAM | 59 | 0 | 3 | 0.985507 | 0.014493 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 1 | 7 | true | true |
10 | null | #GAZP
Поставки российского
газа
по газопроводу "Турецкий поток" в Европу на прошлой неделе вновь обновили исторический рекорд — подсчеты ТАСС на основе данных Европейской сети операторов газотранспортных систем
@russia_companies | https://t.me/russia_companies/18583?embed=1&mode=tme | https://t.me/ | https://t.me/s/russia_companies | 5,200 | 0 | 1,739,338,970 | 1,739,441,219 | 0 | 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| [{"ner":"Поставки","lemma":"Поставки","label":"ORG","start_pos":6,"end_pos":14},{"ner":"вновь обновили","lemma":"вновь обновили","label":"PER","start_pos":91,"end_pos":105},{"ner":"Европейской","lemma":"Европейской","label":"NORP","start_pos":160,"end_pos":171},{"ner":"операторов газотранспортных","lemma":"операторов газотранспортных","label":"PER","start_pos":177,"end_pos":204}] | NEUTRAL | rus | NOT SPAM | 29 | 0 | 2 | 0.945946 | 0.054054 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 3 | true | true |
10 | null | #USDRUB
Экспортные цены на российское сырье заметно выросли в январе. По мнению аналитиков, это поможет укреплению
рубля
в ближайшие месяцы - Ведомости
@russia_companies | https://t.me/russia_companies/18584?embed=1&mode=tme | https://t.me/ | https://t.me/s/russia_companies | 5,000 | 0 | 1,739,339,000 | 1,739,441,219 | 0 | 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| [{"ner":"USDRUB","lemma":"USDRUB","label":"ORG","start_pos":1,"end_pos":7},{"ner":"в январе","lemma":"в январе","label":"PER","start_pos":60,"end_pos":68},{"ner":"По","lemma":"По","label":"ORG","start_pos":70,"end_pos":72}] | NEUTRAL | rus | NOT SPAM | 23 | 0 | 1 | 0.933333 | 0.066667 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 2 | true | true |
10 | null | #RGBI
ЦБ сохранит ключевую ставку на уровне 21%
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считают все 30 участников консенсус-прогноза РБК — аналитики крупных российских банков и инвестиционных компаний
@russia_companies | https://t.me/russia_companies/18585?embed=1&mode=tme | https://t.me/ | https://t.me/s/russia_companies | 5,500 | 0 | 1,739,339,039 | 1,739,441,219 | 0 | 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| [{"ner":"на уровне","lemma":"на уровне","label":"PER","start_pos":34,"end_pos":43},{"ner":"21%","lemma":"21%","label":"PERCENT","start_pos":44,"end_pos":47},{"ner":"30","lemma":"30","label":"CARDINAL","start_pos":62,"end_pos":64}] | NEUTRAL | rus | NOT SPAM | 24 | 0 | 3 | 0.9375 | 0.0625 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 3 | true | true |
10 | null | #MTLRP
#RASP
Экспорт угля через трейдеров с неизвестным конечным пунктом назначения в 2024 году увеличился на 10% г/г, составив 21,2 млн тонн, несмотря на общее сокращение экспорта угля – Ъ
@russia_companies | https://t.me/russia_companies/18586?embed=1&mode=tme | https://t.me/ | https://t.me/s/russia_companies | 5,400 | 0 | 1,739,339,057 | 1,739,441,219 | 0 | 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| [{"ner":"2024","lemma":"2024","label":"CARDINAL","start_pos":86,"end_pos":90},{"ner":"10%","lemma":"10%","label":"PERCENT","start_pos":110,"end_pos":113},{"ner":"21","lemma":"21","label":"NUM","start_pos":128,"end_pos":130},{"ner":"2","lemma":"2","label":"NUM","start_pos":131,"end_pos":132}] | NEUTRAL | rus | NOT SPAM | 31 | 0 | 3 | 0.926829 | 0.073171 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 1 | 4 | true | true |
10 | null | #геополитика
ВИЦЕ-ПРЕЗИДЕНТ ДЖЕЙ ДИ ВЭНС ВСТРЕТИТСЯ В ПЯТНИЦУ С ПРЕЗИДЕНТОМ УКРАИНЫ ЗЕЛЕНСКИМ - POLITICO
@russia_companies | https://t.me/russia_companies/18587?embed=1&mode=tme | https://t.me/ | https://t.me/s/russia_companies | 5,100 | 0 | 1,739,339,106 | 1,739,441,219 | 0 | 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| [{"ner":"ДЖЕЙ ДИ","lemma":"джей ди","label":"PER","start_pos":28,"end_pos":35},{"ner":"ВЭНС ВСТРЕТИТСЯ","lemma":"вэнс встретится","label":"ORG","start_pos":36,"end_pos":51},{"ner":"ПРЕЗИДЕНТОМ","lemma":"президент","label":"ORG","start_pos":64,"end_pos":75},{"ner":"ЗЕЛЕНСКИМ - POLITICO","lemma":"зеленским - politico","label":"ORG","start_pos":84,"end_pos":104}] | NEUTRAL | rus | NOT SPAM | 15 | 0 | 13 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | true | true |
10 | null | НЕДЕЛЬНАЯ ИНФЛЯЦИЯ
: ИНТРИГА ОТНОСИТЕЛЬНО ИТОГОВ ЗАСЕДАНИЯ ЦБ 14 ФЕВРАЛЯ ИСЧЕЗЛА
По
данным Росстата
с 28 янв по 3 февр
ИПЦ вырос на
0.16%
vs
0.22%
и
0.25%
двумя неделями ранее; с начала года –
1.30%
. Без огурца и томата рост ИПЦ:
0.15%
vs
0.22%
и
0.26%
; с начала года –
1.23%
.
Для 5-й недели года
0.16%
- это близко к среднему. За предыдущие 13 лет средний рост цен в эту неделю был
0.17%
(за исключением кризисного 2015г), а в годы нахождения инфляции на цели (2016-2020гг) -
0.12%
.
Из недельных
0.16%
на январь пришлось
0.09%
, на 3 дня февраля –
0.07%
. Инфляция в январе получается
1.23% мм
, примерно
12% saar
(в декабре было около
14% saar
).
Январь в плане инфляции – очень плохой. Но
0.07%
за 3 дня февраля дают надежду. Это примерно, как год назад, когда было
6.5% saar
.
Сильно отклонившаяся от прогноза ЦБ инфляция была главным аргументом за повышение ставки. Сейчас этот аргумент отпадает. Других, столь же сильных, пока нет. Такие аргументы могут появится из-за всё более вероятного обвала цен на нефть | https://t.me/russianmacro/20517?embed=1&mode=tme | https://t.me/ | https://t.me/s/russianmacro | 21,200 | 0 | 1,738,777,744 | 1,739,441,219 | 0 | 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| NEUTRAL | rus | SPAM | 183 | 0 | 12 | 0.981685 | 0.018315 | 0 | 14 | 9 | 2 | 28 | 48 | 11 | 35 | true | true |
10 | null | ИНДЕКС JPM GLOBAL PMI COMPOSITE: ОСЛАБЛЕНИЕ ИМПУЛЬСА В УСЛУГАХ ПЕРЕВЕСИЛО ПОЗИТИВ В ПРОМЫШЛЕННОСТИ
Индексы JP Morgan S&P Global PMI в январе:
•
Manufacturing:
50.1
vs
49.6
ранее
• Services:
52.2
vs
53.8
• Composite (промышленность + услуги):
51.8
vs
52.6
Все три индекса сейчас – выше отметки в 50 пунктов, но поступательная динамика в услугах несколько ослабла.
Динамика в субиндексах: выпуск несколько сбавил, единственная позиция, находящаяся ниже 50 пунктов – новый экспортный бизнес, что указывает на присутствие некоторый проблем в мировой торговле. Все в порядке с будущим выпуском, а ценовое давление сохраняется:
• Выпуск:
51.8 vs 52.6
в декабре
• Новый бизнес:
52.0 vs 52.5
• Новый бизнес, связанный с экспортом:
49.6 vs 48.7
• Будущий выпуск:
62.7 vs 61.9
• Занятость:
50.8 vs 50.3
• Закупочные цены:
56.8 vs 56.0
• Отпускные цены:
53.0 vs 52.3 | https://t.me/russianmacro/20519?embed=1&mode=tme | https://t.me/ | https://t.me/s/russianmacro | 29,300 | 0 | 1,738,827,398 | 1,739,441,219 | 0 | 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| NEUTRAL | rus | SPAM | 137 | 0 | 16 | 0.890547 | 0.109453 | 0 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 32 | 4 | 31 | true | true |
10 | null | 📍
→ #объем_торгов #moex ∙ 09:45
#акции
Тикер Объем Изм.
$RNFT 1,9 млрд -1.18%
$SBER 1,8 млрд +0.39%
$OZON 1,8 млрд +1.53%
$SIBN 1,2 млрд -0.13%
$POSI 975,9 млн +1.03%
$AQUA 934,2 млн +4.39%
$ENPG 884,1 млн +3.33%
$GAZP 775,5 млн +0.44%
$EUTR 612,6 млн +1.87%
$NVTK 601,0 млн +1.48%
$GTRK 433,5 млн -0.12%
$HYDR 406,3 млн -4.51%
#валюта | https://t.me/stockspulse_live/2541?embed=1&mode=tme | https://t.me/ | https://t.me/s/stockspulse_live | 129 | 0 | 1,739,170,839 | 1,739,441,219 | 0 | 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| NEUTRAL | other | SPAM | 59 | 0 | 12 | 0.909722 | 0.090278 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 16 | 0 | 10 | true | true |
10 | null | 📍
→ #аномальный_объем #moex ∙ 09:45
Тикер Объем Изм.
$AQUA 13.42 +4.39%
$SOFL 3.34 -2.50%
$GTRK 2.36 -0.12%
$VEON-RX 2.00 +10.00%
$SIBN 1.81 -0.13%
$RTKMP 1.78 +0.42%
$LSNG 1.77 -1.07%
$TGKN 1.75 +0.50%
$RENI 1.65 +0.72%
$MSRS 1.61 +0.90%
$GECO 1.56 -0.91%
$MBNK 1.51 +2.60%
Аномальные объемы по отношению к среднему объему за последние 10 дней | https://t.me/stockspulse_live/2542?embed=1&mode=tme | https://t.me/ | https://t.me/s/stockspulse_live | 144 | 0 | 1,739,170,843 | 1,739,441,219 | 0 | 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| 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| NEUTRAL | other | NOT SPAM | 56 | 0 | 13 | 0.890625 | 0.109375 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 7 | true | true |
10 | null | 📍
→ #динамика_акций #moex ∙ 09:45
🟢
#лидеры_роста
$VEON-RX VEON +10.00%
$AQUA Инарктика +4.39%
$CIAN Циан +4.39%
$ENPG ЭН+ +3.33%
$NKNCP НКНХ (П) +3.00%
$CHMK ЧМК +2.92%
$CNTLP ЦТФ (П) +2.89%
$TTLK Таттелеком +2.72%
$MBNK МТС-Банк +2.60%
$ABRD Абрау-Дюрсо +2.44%
🔴
#лидеры_падения
$HYDR РусГидро -4.51%
$SOFL Софтлайн -2.50%
$SVAV Соллерс -2.07%
$FESH ДВМП -2.03%
$BELU Белуга -1.46%
$MVID М.Видео -1.25%
$WUSH Wush -1.24%
$RNFT РуссНефть -1.18%
$LSNG Ленэнерго -1.07% | https://t.me/stockspulse_live/2543?embed=1&mode=tme | https://t.me/ | https://t.me/s/stockspulse_live | 15 | 0 | 1,739,170,844 | 1,739,441,219 | 0 | 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| NEUTRAL | other | NOT SPAM | 69 | 0 | 29 | 0.875676 | 0.124324 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 18 | true | true |
10 | null | 📍
→ #RSI #час #moex ∙ 09:45
#перепроданность (2)
Тикер Имя 1H
$SGZH Сегежа 29
$HYDR РусГидро 27 | https://t.me/stockspulse_live/2544?embed=1&mode=tme | https://t.me/ | https://t.me/s/stockspulse_live | 151 | 0 | 1,739,170,845 | 1,739,441,219 | 0 | 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| [{"ner":"#час ","lemma":"#час","label":"MONEY","start_pos":11,"end_pos":17},{"ner":"2","lemma":"2","label":"CARDINAL","start_pos":49,"end_pos":50},{"ner":"Тикер","lemma":"Тикер","label":"ORG","start_pos":52,"end_pos":57},{"ner":"1H","lemma":"1h","label":"CARDINAL","start_pos":69,"end_pos":71},{"ner":"HYDR","lemma":"HYDR","label":"MONEY","start_pos":93,"end_pos":97},{"ner":"РусГидро","lemma":"русгидро","label":"ORG","start_pos":99,"end_pos":107},{"ner":"27","lemma":"27","label":"CARDINAL","start_pos":109,"end_pos":111},{"ner":"09:45","lemma":"09:45","label":"DATE","start_pos":25,"end_pos":30},{"ner":"45","lemma":"45","label":"NUM","start_pos":28,"end_pos":30},{"ner":"29","lemma":"29","label":"NUM","start_pos":89,"end_pos":91}] | NEUTRAL | other | NOT SPAM | 18 | 0 | 4 | 0.875 | 0.125 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | true | true |
10 | null | 📍
→ #волатильность #moex ∙ 09:45
#голубые_фишки
Тикер Вол. Изм.
$AQUA 10.01 +4.39%
$CIAN 8.82 +4.39%
$HYDR 6.73 -4.51%
$LENT 5.52 -0.95%
$ENPG 4.45 +3.33%
$GEMC 4.31 -0.82%
$RNFT 4.25 -1.18%
$EUTR 4.16 +1.87%
#второй_эшелон
Тикер Вол. Изм.
$VEON-RX 9.84 +10.00%
$GTRK 6.32 -0.12%
$GECO 5.94 -0.91%
$KLSB 5.91 +2.39%
$CHMK 5.51 +2.92%
$TGKN 5.37 +0.50%
$LSNG 5.12 -1.07%
$SVAV 5.00 -2.07%
$VSMO 4.77 -0.76%
$RKKE 4.56 +2.10%
$FESH 4.44 -2.03%
$SOFL 4.31 -2.50%
Акции с наиболее сильными колебаниями цены за текущую торговую сессию | https://t.me/stockspulse_live/2545?embed=1&mode=tme | https://t.me/ | https://t.me/s/stockspulse_live | 18 | 0 | 1,739,170,847 | 1,739,441,219 | 0 | 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| NEUTRAL | other | NOT SPAM | 84 | 0 | 21 | 0.893204 | 0.106796 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 7 | 1 | 13 | true | true |
10 | null | #экономический_календарь #америка #сегодня ∙ 11/02/2025
Вторник, 11 февраля
#экономика
🇺🇸
18:00 ∙
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Заявление председателя ФРС Пауэлла
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20:00 ∙ Краткосрочный прогноз развития энергетики от EIA
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20:00 ∙ Отчет по оценкам спроса и предложения в мировом сельском хозяйстве
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23:30 ∙
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Выступление управляющей ФРС Боуман
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23:30 ∙ Выступление члена Федерального комитета по операциям на открытом рынке Вильямса
#индикаторы
🇺🇸
21:00 ∙ Аукцион по размещению 3-летних казначейских облигаций | https://t.me/stockspulse_moex/12288?embed=1&mode=tme | https://t.me/ | https://t.me/s/stockspulse_moex | 116 | 0 | 1,739,273,423 | 1,739,441,219 | 0 | 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| [{"ner":"америка","lemma":"америка","label":"LOC","start_pos":27,"end_pos":34},{"ner":"ФРС","lemma":"фрс","label":"ORG","start_pos":125,"end_pos":128},{"ner":"Пауэлла\n🇺🇸","lemma":"пауэлла\n🇺🇸","label":"PER","start_pos":129,"end_pos":139},{"ner":"ФРС","lemma":"фрс","label":"ORG","start_pos":312,"end_pos":315},{"ner":"Боуман\n🇺🇸","lemma":"боуман\n🇺🇸","label":"PER","start_pos":316,"end_pos":325},{"ner":"Федерального комитета","lemma":"федеральный комитет","label":"ORG","start_pos":352,"end_pos":373},{"ner":"Вильямса","lemma":"вильямса","label":"PER","start_pos":405,"end_pos":413},{"ner":"23:30","lemma":"23:30","label":"DATE","start_pos":278,"end_pos":283},{"ner":"11 февраля","lemma":"11 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| NEUTRAL | rus | SPAM | 70 | 1 | 3 | 0.990291 | 0.009709 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 22 | 1 | 12 | true | true |
10 | null | #динамика_акций ∙ 11/02/2025
🟢
#лидеры_роста
$POSI Группа Позитив +4.79%
$TRNFP Транснефть +4.69%
$RTKM Ростелеком +3.96%
$IRKT Яковлев ак.об.-3 +3.63%
$MGNT Магнит +3.54%
$BANE Башнефть +3.49%
$PIKK Пик +3.30%
$ENPG Эн+ +3.24%
$RTKMP Ростелеком (П) +3.19%
$MBNK МТС Банк +2.64%
$SGZH Сегежа +2.63%
$AFKS АФК Система +2.58%
$NVTK Новатек +2.47%
$RUAL Русал +2.39%
$FLOT Совкомфлот +2.35%
🔴
#лидеры_падения
$HYDR РусГидро -5.51%
$BLNG Белон -1.40%
$MGKL МГКЛ -1.35%
$LENT Лента МК -1.23%
$TTLK Таттелеком -1.10%
$DVEC ДЭК -1.09%
$LSRG Группа ЛСР -1.00% | https://t.me/stockspulse_moex/12289?embed=1&mode=tme | https://t.me/ | https://t.me/s/stockspulse_moex | 127 | 0 | 1,739,285,115 | 1,739,441,219 | 0 | 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10 | null | #крупные_заявки #moex ∙ 11/02/2025
Крупные лимитные заявки в $SMLT исполненные сегодня во время основной и вечерней торговой сессии | https://t.me/stockspulse_moex/12290?embed=1&mode=tme | https://t.me/ | https://t.me/s/stockspulse_moex | 114 | 0 | 1,739,286,044 | 1,739,441,219 | 0 | 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| [{"ner":"11/02/2025","lemma":"11/02/2025","label":"DATE","start_pos":25,"end_pos":35},{"ner":"02","lemma":"02","label":"NUM","start_pos":28,"end_pos":30},{"ner":"2025","lemma":"2025","label":"NUM","start_pos":31,"end_pos":35}] | NEUTRAL | rus | SPAM | 18 | 0 | 1 | 0.913044 | 0.086957 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | true | true |
10 | null | 🔴
#RUAL 7,7 млн (21421 лот. × 36,0 ₽) ∙ 12:59:40 | https://t.me/stockspulse_trades/171881?embed=1&mode=tme | https://t.me/ | https://t.me/s/stockspulse_trades | 63 | 0 | 1,739,354,426 | 1,739,441,219 | 0 | 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10 | null | 🔴
#GAZP 11,2 млн (7658 лот. × 146,0 ₽) ∙ 13:00:32 | https://t.me/stockspulse_trades/171882?embed=1&mode=tme | https://t.me/ | https://t.me/s/stockspulse_trades | 66 | 0 | 1,739,354,494 | 1,739,441,219 | 0 | 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10 | null | 🟢
#GAZP 31,7 млн (21731 лот. × 146,1 ₽) ∙ 13:01:42 | https://t.me/stockspulse_trades/171883?embed=1&mode=tme | https://t.me/ | https://t.me/s/stockspulse_trades | 61 | 0 | 1,739,354,549 | 1,739,441,219 | 0 | 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10 | null | 🟢
#GAZP 5,6 млн (3810 лот. × 146,1 ₽) ∙ 13:01:55 | https://t.me/stockspulse_trades/171884?embed=1&mode=tme | https://t.me/ | https://t.me/s/stockspulse_trades | 57 | 0 | 1,739,354,550 | 1,739,441,219 | 0 | 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| [{"ner":"🟢\n#","lemma":"🟢\n#","label":"ORG","start_pos":0,"end_pos":3},{"ner":"3810 лот","lemma":"3810 лот","label":"DATE","start_pos":17,"end_pos":25},{"ner":"146,1","lemma":"146,1","label":"CARDINAL","start_pos":29,"end_pos":34},{"ner":"13:01:55","lemma":"13:01:55","label":"TIME","start_pos":41,"end_pos":49},{"ner":"5","lemma":"5","label":"NUM","start_pos":8,"end_pos":9},{"ner":"6","lemma":"6","label":"NUM","start_pos":10,"end_pos":11},{"ner":"1","lemma":"1","label":"NUM","start_pos":33,"end_pos":34},{"ner":"01","lemma":"01","label":"NUM","start_pos":44,"end_pos":46},{"ner":"55","lemma":"55","label":"NUM","start_pos":47,"end_pos":49}] | NEUTRAL | other | SPAM | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0.947368 | 0.052632 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 5 | true | true |
10 | null | Бюджет остается фактором риска для рубля, особенно в случае долгих переговоров с Западом.
#оракул_рубля
Блумберг вчера
обратил внимание
, что нефтегазовые доходы бюджета в январе упали до годового минимума — и это при среднем курсе в январе в 102.4737.
😀
@AK47pfl | https://t.me/AK47pfl/19339?embed=1&mode=tme | https://t.me/ | https://t.me/s/AK47pfl | 17,000 | 0 | 1,738,849,681 | 1,739,441,220 | 0 | 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| [{"ner":"Западом","lemma":"запад","label":"LOC","start_pos":81,"end_pos":88},{"ner":"02.47","lemma":"02.47","label":"DATE","start_pos":244,"end_pos":249},{"ner":"102","lemma":"102","label":"NUM","start_pos":243,"end_pos":246},{"ner":"4737","lemma":"4737","label":"NUM","start_pos":247,"end_pos":251},{"ner":"47","lemma":"47","label":"NUM","start_pos":258,"end_pos":260}] | NEUTRAL | rus | SPAM | 41 | 0 | 0 | 0.980392 | 0.019608 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 2 | 6 | true | true |
10 | null | Укрепление рубля, происходящее в последние недели — временное явление. Текущее укрепление не подкреплено фундаментальными факторами — сообщает источник РДВ.
#оракул_рубля
Геополитическая активность США (особенно при Трампе) направлена в сторону вытеснения конкурентов с ключевых для РФ рынков нефти и газа —
https://t.me/AK47pfl/19261
. Это негативно для экспортных доходов РФ и для рубля.
Сланцевый бум в США, происходящий с середины 2000-х, привел к тому, что добыча нефти в США обошла Россию (см. рисунок).
Еще острее конкуренция в газе. США обошли РФ и по добыче, и похоже обойдут по экспорту газа.
Трамп формулирует задачу перед нефтегазовой отраслью США "бури, детка, бури". Видимо, для сбыта большего объема баррелей и кубометров потребуется кого-то вытеснить с мирового рынка. Россия среди кандидатов.
😀
@AK47pfl | https://t.me/AK47pfl/19340?embed=1&mode=tme | https://t.me/ | https://t.me/s/AK47pfl | 19,500 | 0 | 1,738,851,302 | 1,739,441,220 | 0 | 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| [{"ner":"РДВ","lemma":"рдв","label":"ORG","start_pos":152,"end_pos":155},{"ner":"США","lemma":"сша","label":"LOC","start_pos":198,"end_pos":201},{"ner":"Трампе","lemma":"трамп","label":"PER","start_pos":216,"end_pos":222},{"ner":"РФ","lemma":"рф","label":"LOC","start_pos":283,"end_pos":285},{"ner":"РФ","lemma":"рф","label":"LOC","start_pos":374,"end_pos":376},{"ner":"США","lemma":"сша","label":"LOC","start_pos":406,"end_pos":409},{"ner":"США","lemma":"сша","label":"LOC","start_pos":477,"end_pos":480},{"ner":"Россию","lemma":"россия","label":"LOC","start_pos":488,"end_pos":494},{"ner":"США","lemma":"сша","label":"LOC","start_pos":541,"end_pos":544},{"ner":"РФ","lemma":"рф","label":"LOC","start_pos":552,"end_pos":554},{"ner":"Трамп","lemma":"трамп","label":"PER","start_pos":603,"end_pos":608},{"ner":"США","lemma":"сша","label":"LOC","start_pos":656,"end_pos":659},{"ner":"Россия","lemma":"россия","label":"LOC","start_pos":785,"end_pos":791},{"ner":"19261","lemma":"19261","label":"DATE","start_pos":329,"end_pos":334},{"ner":"47","lemma":"47","label":"NUM","start_pos":323,"end_pos":325},{"ner":"2000","lemma":"2000","label":"NUM","start_pos":435,"end_pos":439},{"ner":"47","lemma":"47","label":"NUM","start_pos":815,"end_pos":817}] | NEUTRAL | rus | NOT SPAM | 117 | 0 | 9 | 0.986928 | 0.013072 | 0 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 38 | 5 | 29 | true | true |
10 | null | #Нефтянка
Цена на российскую нефть снова упала ниже 60 долларов из-за ужесточения санкций США
— Bloomberg | https://t.me/AK47pfl/19341?embed=1&mode=tme | https://t.me/ | https://t.me/s/AK47pfl | 18,100 | 0 | 1,738,852,360 | 1,739,441,220 | 0 | 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| [{"ner":"США","lemma":"сша","label":"LOC","start_pos":90,"end_pos":93},{"ner":"Bloomberg","lemma":"bloomberg","label":"ORG","start_pos":96,"end_pos":105},{"ner":"60","lemma":"60","label":"NUM","start_pos":52,"end_pos":54}] | NEUTRAL | rus | NOT SPAM | 16 | 0 | 1 | 0.952381 | 0.047619 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 2 | true | true |
10 | null | #Политика #Нефтянка
Опустим цену на нефть и все остальное получится
— Трамп | https://t.me/AK47pfl/19342?embed=1&mode=tme | https://t.me/ | https://t.me/s/AK47pfl | 17,400 | 0 | 1,738,852,407 | 1,739,441,220 | 0 | 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| [{"ner":"Трамп","lemma":"трамп","label":"PER","start_pos":70,"end_pos":75}] | NEUTRAL | rus | NOT SPAM | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | true | true |
10 | null | За эфиром
🪙
$ETH сегодня следим
Мощный наклонный уровень
3310 +- твх | https://t.me/ChurakovTrade/10225?embed=1&mode=tme | https://t.me/ | https://t.me/s/ChurakovTrade | 526 | 0 | 1,738,316,063 | 1,739,441,220 | 0 | 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| [{"ner":"3310","lemma":"3310","label":"NUM","start_pos":57,"end_pos":61}] | NEUTRAL | rus | NOT SPAM | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0.944444 | 0.055556 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | true | true |
10 | null | $DEEP следим за пробоем уровня
Поджатие, затухание волатильности | https://t.me/ChurakovTrade/10226?embed=1&mode=tme | https://t.me/ | https://t.me/s/ChurakovTrade | 531 | 0 | 1,738,325,002 | 1,739,441,220 | 0 | 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| [{"ner":"Поджатие","lemma":"Поджатие","label":"ORG","start_pos":31,"end_pos":39}] | NEUTRAL | rus | NOT SPAM | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0.909091 | 0.090909 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | true | true |
10 | null | Сегодня и лонги и шорты сходили
Не забывайте в комментариях делиться скриншотами своих сделок
💰 | https://t.me/ChurakovTrade/10227?embed=1&mode=tme | https://t.me/ | https://t.me/s/ChurakovTrade | 522 | 0 | 1,738,327,866 | 1,739,441,220 | 0 | 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| [{"ner":"💰","lemma":"💰","label":"ORG","start_pos":94,"end_pos":95}] | NEUTRAL | rus | NOT SPAM | 15 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | true | true |
10 | null | $SKL вот вот сорвет
Слабее рынка
Поджатие, затухание волатильности | https://t.me/ChurakovTrade/10228?embed=1&mode=tme | https://t.me/ | https://t.me/s/ChurakovTrade | 537 | 0 | 1,738,333,120 | 1,739,441,220 | 0 | 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| [{"ner":"SKL","lemma":"SKL","label":"ORG","start_pos":1,"end_pos":4},{"ner":"Слабее","lemma":"Слабее","label":"ORG","start_pos":20,"end_pos":26},{"ner":"Поджатие","lemma":"Поджатие","label":"ORG","start_pos":33,"end_pos":41}] | NEUTRAL | rus | NOT SPAM | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0.923077 | 0.076923 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | true | true |
10 | null | ⛽️
Обыкновенные акции Сургутнефтегаза подскочили на 7%
Обыкновенные акции Сургутнефтегаза ускорили рост, наблюдающийся пятую сессию подряд и обновили максимум с середины августа 2024 г. Котировки приближались к 26,7 руб., прибавляя 7%, после чего умеренно просели в рамках коррекции, сохраняя основные достижения понедельника.
В то же время привилегированные акции Сургутнефтегаза находятся в небольшом плюсе, как и большинство других представителей нефтегазового сектора. При этом для них главные рыночные условия являются неблагоприятными из-за сочетания дешевеющей нефти и дорожающего рубля.
Возможно, на фоне введения против компании санкций США, а также информации ЦБ о быстром сокращении валютных депозитов в российских банках, в очередной раз актуализировалась идея, что Сургутнефтегаз начнет инвестировать часть большого объема свободной ликвидности в иностранной валюте (так называемая кубышка), переводя ее в рубли.
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Если было полезно, обязательно поставьте лайк | https://t.me/InvPoint/2764?embed=1&mode=tme | https://t.me/ | https://t.me/s/InvPoint | 1,900 | 0 | 1,737,392,948 | 1,739,441,220 | 0 | 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| [{"ner":"Сургутнефтегаза","lemma":"сургутнефтегаз","label":"PER","start_pos":22,"end_pos":37},{"ner":"Сургутнефтегаза","lemma":"сургутнефтегаз","label":"PER","start_pos":74,"end_pos":89},{"ner":"Котировки","lemma":"котировка","label":"LOC","start_pos":186,"end_pos":195},{"ner":"Сургутнефтегаза","lemma":"сургутнефтегаз","label":"PER","start_pos":365,"end_pos":380},{"ner":"США","lemma":"сша","label":"LOC","start_pos":646,"end_pos":649},{"ner":"ЦБ","lemma":"цб","label":"ORG","start_pos":670,"end_pos":672},{"ner":"Сургутнефтегаз","lemma":"сургутнефтегаз","label":"PER","start_pos":778,"end_pos":792},{"ner":"7","lemma":"7","label":"NUM","start_pos":52,"end_pos":53},{"ner":"2024","lemma":"2024","label":"NUM","start_pos":178,"end_pos":182},{"ner":"26","lemma":"26","label":"NUM","start_pos":211,"end_pos":213},{"ner":"7","lemma":"7","label":"NUM","start_pos":214,"end_pos":215},{"ner":"7","lemma":"7","label":"NUM","start_pos":232,"end_pos":233}] | NEUTRAL | rus | NOT SPAM | 127 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 41 | 6 | 20 | true | true |
10 | null | 🏦
Торговая идея по
Сбербанку:
■ Тикер: SBER
■ Идея: Long
■ Срок идеи: 2-4 недели
■ Цель: 300 руб.
■ Потенциал идеи: 7,35%
■ Объем входа: 8%
■ Стоп-приказ: 267,8 руб.
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Технический анализ
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Котировки преодолели уровень сопротивления сентября 2024 года (273,94 руб.), закрепление выше которого формирует сигналы к развитию восходящего тренда. При объеме позиции 8% и выставлении стоп-заявки на уровне 267,8 руб. риск на портфель составит 0,33%. Соотношение прибыль/риск составляет 1,76.
➡️
Фундаментальный фактор
📌
Сбербанк — российский финансовый конгломерат, крупнейший банк в России, Центральной и Восточной Европе, один из ведущих международных финансовых институтов.
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Банк отчитался по РПБУ о рекордных чистых процентных доходах (244,5 млрд рублей за декабрь 2024 года). Акции котируются за 0,9 капитала при рентабельности капитала 23,4%.
Нравится ли вам идея по Сберу?
■ Да
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■ Нет
🤔
■ Пока понаблюдаю
👀 | https://t.me/InvPoint/2765?embed=1&mode=tme | https://t.me/ | https://t.me/s/InvPoint | 1,900 | 0 | 1,737,460,923 | 1,739,441,220 | 0 | 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| NEUTRAL | rus | SPAM | 139 | 0 | 2 | 0.990148 | 0.009852 | 0 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 53 | 1 | 30 | true | true |
10 | null | 🥇
Почему россияне инвестируют в золото?
📌
В периоды кризисов всегда растет число людей, предпочитающих защитные активы. В настоящее время мы переживаем многофакторный кризис: мировой экономический, страновой экономический и локальный геополитический, так что интерес к защитным активам закономерен. А золото по сути – единственный защитный актив, который доступен нашим гражданам без санкционных рисков (к защитным активам, кроме золота, относятся американские treasuries, доллар США и швейцарский франк).
📌
Большинство российских инвесторов смотрят на перспективы текущего года более позитивно и ожидают, что кризис высоких ставок в стране пойдет на спад, геополитическая ситуация разрешится с участием нового американского президента и в фокусе снова окажется российский рынок акций. В случае, если эти ожидания не оправдаются, золото имеет шанс снова обновить исторический максимум до конца года.
👍
Если было полезно, обязательно поставьте лайк | https://t.me/InvPoint/2766?embed=1&mode=tme | https://t.me/ | https://t.me/s/InvPoint | 1,900 | 0 | 1,737,482,863 | 1,739,441,220 | 0 | 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| [{"ner":"США","lemma":"сша","label":"LOC","start_pos":480,"end_pos":483}] | NEUTRAL | rus | NOT SPAM | 128 | 0 | 5 | 0.99359 | 0.00641 | 0 | 27 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 43 | 9 | 24 | true | true |
10 | null | Кстати, сегодня будет довольно важное событие для мира крипты, которому уделено очень мало внимания в СМИ. А зря!
Вообщем сегодня пройдет голосование акционеров
Microsoft
#MSFT по вопросу инвестиций компании в
BTC
. Что это означает? А то, если будет принято решение
ЗА
, то это дополнительны миллиарды долларов ликвидности добавятся в крипторынок.
Основной акционер компании Билл Гейтс конечно далеко не самый ярый фанат крипты, но сам факт такого события имеет большую важность.
И еще, кстати, ранее так же объявил об аналогичном намерении другой гигант капитализации
Amazon
#AMZN, с желанием инвестировать 5% в биточек. А Джефф Безос гораздо более лоялен к крипте, нежели Гейтс.
Вообщем всем криптанам сегодня быть на чеку.
UPD
:
Акционеры Microsoft проголосовали против
. Вот редиски. | https://t.me/ProTradingMarkets/1750?embed=1&mode=tme | https://t.me/ | https://t.me/s/ProTradingMarkets | 770 | 0 | 1,733,850,240 | 1,739,441,220 | 0 | 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| [{"ner":"СМИ","lemma":"сми","label":"ORG","start_pos":102,"end_pos":105},{"ner":"Microsoft","lemma":"microsoft","label":"ORG","start_pos":161,"end_pos":170},{"ner":"BTC","lemma":"btc","label":"ORG","start_pos":210,"end_pos":213},{"ner":"Билл Гейтс","lemma":"билл гейтс","label":"PER","start_pos":376,"end_pos":386},{"ner":"Amazon","lemma":"amazon","label":"ORG","start_pos":570,"end_pos":576},{"ner":"Джефф Безос","lemma":"джефф безос","label":"PER","start_pos":625,"end_pos":636},{"ner":"Гейтс","lemma":"гейтс","label":"PER","start_pos":675,"end_pos":680},{"ner":"UPD","lemma":"upd","label":"ORG","start_pos":727,"end_pos":730},{"ner":"Microsoft","lemma":"microsoft","label":"ORG","start_pos":743,"end_pos":752},{"ner":"5","lemma":"5","label":"NUM","start_pos":609,"end_pos":610}] | NEUTRAL | rus | NOT SPAM | 119 | 0 | 10 | 0.954839 | 0.045161 | 0 | 11 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 32 | 16 | 21 | true | true |
10 | null | ‼️
ВНИМАНИЕ
‼️
Вчера затронул тему торговли с маленькими депозитами.
Сейчас хочу поделиться с вами моим списком рекомендация, который я составил основываясь на своем опыте по торговле опционами.
Депозит:
0-5.000$
Настоятельно не рекомендую торговать никакие
кредитные
опционные позиции. Только дебетовые, и не более 3% на одну сделку.
5.000-10.000$
К торговле рекомендуются только опционные позции на природные ресурсы: газ, нефть, серебро и золото. Допустимо 1-2 лота на одну сделку, но не более. В месяц у вас будет выходить всего 2-5 сделок, но они смогут приносить вам безопасные +10% к депозиту.
Торговля сделок под отчеты
не рекомендуется
.
10.000-20.000$
К торговле рекомендуются:
- опционные сделки на природные ресурсы
- опционные сделки на акции (с соблюдением риск менеджмента)
- опционные сделки под отчеты компаний.
Не более 1 лота на сделку
!
- опционные сделки: голая продажа путов/колов в деньгах -
Не рекомендуются
>20.000$
В торговле допустимы все опционные сделки.
П.С. Друзья и коллеги, но пожалуйста, огромная просьба соблюдайте риск менеджмент.
П.С.2. Данный пост не требование и не правило, а лишь мои рекомендации основанные на собственном опыте. Финальное решение по сделке и ее параметрам всегда остается за вами. | https://t.me/ProTradingMarkets/1751?embed=1&mode=tme | https://t.me/ | https://t.me/s/ProTradingMarkets | 862 | 0 | 1,733,912,215 | 1,739,441,220 | 0 | 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| 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| NEUTRAL | rus | NOT SPAM | 184 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 19 | 7 | 21 | 60 | 8 | 32 | true | true |
10 | null | Здравствуйте.
Прошлая неделя в очередной раз показала всю силу торговли природными ресурсами. Золото, серебро и газ выдают отличные прибыли. Предсказуемо, стабильно и довольно просто управляется.
Сильно подпортил картину отчет #
ADBE
. Не стал его роллировать и зафиксировал убыток. Но даже не смотря на этот минус все равно по общему зафиксированному профиту плюс.
Под отчеты открывали 2 позиции, и к сожалению по обеим не смогли заработать. #
MDB
отроллировали и ждем профита.
Прошло
9 недель
в текущей квартальной отчетности.
Счет по сделкам: 38-9
Текущая неделя завершающая в этой квартальной отчетности. Следующая отчетность начнется
15 января 2025 года
.
Опционы
:
#
ADBE
(6*0.8)-3000 =
-2520$
(позиция под отчет)
#
MRNA
1*(12.7-10,8) =
190
$
#
W
7*0.66 =
462
$
#
GOOG
6*0.64 =
384
$
#
GC(2820/2840)
4*(2.7-0.5)*100 =
880
$
#
NG(2.8/2.6)
3*(0.038-0.007)*10000 =
930
$
#
Si(29/28)
4*(0.138-0.014)*5000 =
2480
$
Фьючерсы
:
Акции
:
ИТОГО: 2806$
зафиксированной прибыли за неделю | https://t.me/ProTradingMarkets/1752?embed=1&mode=tme | https://t.me/ | https://t.me/s/ProTradingMarkets | 831 | 0 | 1,734,341,150 | 1,739,441,220 | 0 | 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| NEUTRAL | rus | SPAM | 154 | 0 | 9 | 0.964143 | 0.035857 | 0 | 16 | 17 | 1 | 31 | 36 | 5 | 32 | true | true |
10 | null | Всем доброго дня.
Сегодня на рынке традиционный день боли и страха. Боль внутридневных трейдеров, и страх всех остальных инвесторов от того что скажет Джером в своей речи.
Пока что ожидаем небольшое снижение процентной ставки на 25 пунктов. А там кто его знает, какие они сюрпризы подкинут под новый год. | https://t.me/ProTradingMarkets/1753?embed=1&mode=tme | https://t.me/ | https://t.me/s/ProTradingMarkets | 771 | 0 | 1,734,524,338 | 1,739,441,220 | 0 | 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| [{"ner":"Джером","lemma":"джером","label":"PER","start_pos":151,"end_pos":157},{"ner":"25","lemma":"25","label":"NUM","start_pos":229,"end_pos":231}] | NEGATIVE | rus | NOT SPAM | 49 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 15 | 3 | 7 | true | true |
10 | null | Здравствуйте друзья.
Ну что тут можно сказать? Пауэлл в среду подкинул нам не просто ложку дегтя, а целую бочку. Хотя думаю многие трейдеры и инвесторы всплакнули в среду.
Пришлось много позиций роллировать, а часть фиксировать в убыток.
Под отчеты открывали 3 позиции, по двум забрали профит, а вот по #
MU
пришлось сделать роллирование (здесь мы в скором времени заберем профит.)
Прошло 10 недель в текущей квартальной отчетности.
Счет по сделкам: 40-10
Квартальная отчетности завершена. Следующая отчетность начнется
15 января 2025 года
.
Опционы
:
#
STLD
(6*0.6)-3000 =
-2640
$
#
NKE
2*(8.0-10.0) =
-400
$
#
LEN
2*(2.0-1.8) =
40
$ (позиция под отчет)
#
FDX
3*1.75 =
525
$
#
KMX
3*1.2 =
360
$ (позиция под отчет)
#
LLY
2*3.0 =
600
$
#
TWLO
10*0.41 =
-410
$
Фьючерсы
:
Акции:
ИТОГО
:
-1925$
зафиксированного убытка за неделю
У фондового рынка еще есть время устроить нам всем рождественское ралли, а не вот это вот что было
😀 | https://t.me/ProTradingMarkets/1754?embed=1&mode=tme | https://t.me/ | https://t.me/s/ProTradingMarkets | 709 | 0 | 1,734,951,427 | 1,739,441,220 | 0 | 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| NEUTRAL | rus | SPAM | 162 | 0 | 10 | 0.969349 | 0.030651 | 0 | 12 | 18 | 6 | 26 | 40 | 5 | 37 | true | true |
10 | null | Компании, которые могут пострадать из-за роста ключевой ставки
🏦
В минувшую пятницу Банк России повысил ставку до 13,00% (+100 б.п.). Такой шаг может оказать
дополнительное давление на эмитентов с высоким уровнем долга
. Как отмечают в БКС, в настоящее время рынок не реагирует на действия регулятора, но если ставка будет удерживаться на этом уровне месяц и более, закредитованные компании первыми ощутят последствия.
📝
Представляем вам подборку российских компаний, которые публикуют отчеты, с наибольшей долговой нагрузкой. Отбор проводился, основываясь на трех показателях:
debt / equity
(долг / капитал),
debt / EBITDA
(долг / доналоговая прибыль) и
коэффициент текущей ликвидности
. Последний мультипликатор отображает наличие средств для текущих платежей. Также отметим, что в этом списке нет банков, поскольку они являются нетто-кредиторами.
✈️
Аэрофлот
(
AFLT
). У компании отрицательный капитал, а уровень долга в шесть раз превышает EBITDA. Из положительных моментов — государство оказывает поддержку перевозчику.
📦
Ozon
(
OZON
). Отрицательная EBITDA, ликвидность <1. Однако компания демонстрирует быстрые темпы роста.
🪓
Сегежа
(
SGZH
). Уровень долга к капиталу очень высокий — 2,4:1. Также укрепление рубля - тот шаг, ради которого ЦБ и повышает ставку - может негативно сказаться на прибыли.
🍏
Магнит
(
MGNT
). Долг превосходит капитал на 30%, однако, как отмечают в БКС, такое соотношение - норма для ритейлеров. Коэффициент ликвидности менее единицы. Это говорит о том, что компании необходимы займы, которые, в свою очередь, будут дорожать на фоне повышения ключевой ставки.
⚡️
МТС (
MTSS
). Для телеком-компании характерны большие капитальные расходы. Также у МТС высокий показатель долг/EBITDA — 1.67.
Подписаться
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Техподдержка
| #разбор | https://t.me/Rocket_TRD/1795?embed=1&mode=tme | https://t.me/ | https://t.me/s/Rocket_TRD | 553 | 0 | 1,695,117,531 | 1,739,441,220 | 0 | 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| [{"ner":"Банк России","lemma":"банк россия","label":"ORG","start_pos":84,"end_pos":95},{"ner":"БКС","lemma":"бкс","label":"ORG","start_pos":236,"end_pos":239},{"ner":"ЦБ","lemma":"цб","label":"ORG","start_pos":1246,"end_pos":1248},{"ner":"Магнит\n(\nMGNT\n)","lemma":"магнит\n(\nmgnt\n)","label":"ORG","start_pos":1309,"end_pos":1324},{"ner":"БКС","lemma":"бкс","label":"ORG","start_pos":1382,"end_pos":1385},{"ner":"МТС","lemma":"мтс","label":"ORG","start_pos":1596,"end_pos":1599},{"ner":"13,00","lemma":"13,00","label":"DATE","start_pos":114,"end_pos":119},{"ner":"00","lemma":"00","label":"NUM","start_pos":117,"end_pos":119},{"ner":"100","lemma":"100","label":"NUM","start_pos":123,"end_pos":126},{"ner":"1","lemma":"1","label":"NUM","start_pos":1077,"end_pos":1078},{"ner":"2","lemma":"2","label":"NUM","start_pos":1191,"end_pos":1192},{"ner":"4","lemma":"4","label":"NUM","start_pos":1193,"end_pos":1194},{"ner":"1","lemma":"1","label":"NUM","start_pos":1195,"end_pos":1196},{"ner":"30","lemma":"30","label":"NUM","start_pos":1354,"end_pos":1356},{"ner":"1","lemma":"1","label":"NUM","start_pos":1716,"end_pos":1717},{"ner":"67","lemma":"67","label":"NUM","start_pos":1718,"end_pos":1720}] | NEUTRAL | rus | NOT SPAM | 260 | 0 | 16 | 0.964286 | 0.035714 | 0 | 24 | 30 | 8 | 8 | 89 | 10 | 78 | true | true |
10 | null |
Компании, которые могут пострадать из-за роста ключевой ставки
🏦
В минувшую пятницу Банк России повысил ставку до 13,00% (+100 б.п.). Такой шаг может оказать
дополнительное давление на эмитентов с высоким уровнем долга
. Как отмечают в БКС, в настоящее время рынок не реагирует на действия регулятора, но если ставка будет удерживаться на этом уровне месяц и более, закредитованные компании первыми ощутят последствия.
📝
Представляем вам подборку российских компаний, которые публикуют отчеты, с наибольшей долговой нагрузкой. Отбор проводился, основываясь на трех показателях:
debt / equity
(долг / капитал),
debt / EBITDA
(долг / доналоговая прибыль) и
коэффициент текущей ликвидности
. Последний мультипликатор отображает наличие средств для текущих платежей. Также отметим, что в этом списке нет банков, поскольку они являются нетто-кредиторами.
⚡️
МТС (
MTSS
). Для телеком-компании характерны большие капитальные расходы. Также у МТС высокий показатель долг/EBITDA — 1.67.
🍏
Магнит
(
MGNT
). Долг превосходит капитал на 30%, однако, как отмечают в БКС, такое соотношение - норма для ритейлеров. Коэффициент ликвидности менее единицы. Это говорит о том, что компании необходимы займы, которые, в свою очередь, будут дорожать на фоне повышения ключевой ставки.
С полной подборкой можно ознакомиться на канале сервиса учета инвестиций Intelinvest. Переходите и читайте —
ссылочку оставляем | https://t.me/Rocket_TRD/1796?embed=1&mode=tme | https://t.me/ | https://t.me/s/Rocket_TRD | 626 | 0 | 1,695,195,270 | 1,739,441,220 | 0 | 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| [{"ner":"Банк России","lemma":"банк россия","label":"ORG","start_pos":87,"end_pos":98},{"ner":"БКС","lemma":"бкс","label":"ORG","start_pos":239,"end_pos":242},{"ner":"МТС","lemma":"мтс","label":"ORG","start_pos":856,"end_pos":859},{"ner":"Магнит\n(\nMGNT\n)","lemma":"магнит\n(\nmgnt\n)","label":"ORG","start_pos":984,"end_pos":999},{"ner":"БКС","lemma":"бкс","label":"ORG","start_pos":1057,"end_pos":1060},{"ner":"13,00","lemma":"13,00","label":"DATE","start_pos":117,"end_pos":122},{"ner":"00","lemma":"00","label":"NUM","start_pos":120,"end_pos":122},{"ner":"100","lemma":"100","label":"NUM","start_pos":126,"end_pos":129},{"ner":"1","lemma":"1","label":"NUM","start_pos":976,"end_pos":977},{"ner":"67","lemma":"67","label":"NUM","start_pos":978,"end_pos":980},{"ner":"30","lemma":"30","label":"NUM","start_pos":1029,"end_pos":1031}] | NEUTRAL | rus | NOT SPAM | 200 | 0 | 10 | 0.970588 | 0.029412 | 0 | 20 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 68 | 7 | 56 | true | true |
10 | null | ✅
За какими акциями стоит наблюдать на этой неделе?
❗️
2025 год на российском рынке акций обещает быть очень интересным. Основные драйверы для роста - это изменение в риторике ЦБ РФ, а также вероятное смягчение геополитического напряжения.
📌
Тем не менее, несмотря на рост рынка последних дней, инвесторам всё ещё стоит соблюдать осторожность: текущий позитив пока держится на слабых катализаторах, которые могут очень быстро потерять свою силу.
🔥
Рассмотрим три акции, которые могут быть интересны для торговли в ближайшие дни:
🔋
Новатэк
#NVTK
📌
Акции Новатэка успешно закрепились выше области сопротивления нисходящего тренда. Откат, продолжавшийся последние несколько торговых дней, нашел точку опоры и после пятничного роста более чем на 4% считается завершенным с точки зрения технического анализа.
📌
При этом перекупленность, образовавшаяся в ходе предновогоднего ралли, спала и теперь не препятствует дальнейшему росту. Ожидается, что к концу недели стоимость акций Новатэка может вырасти до 1030–1045 рублей.
🔖
Хэдхантер
#HEAD
📌
Акции Хэдхантера продолжает краткосрочный восходящий тренд, начавшийся после закрытия реестра акционеров для выплаты дивидендов. Уже вторую коррекцию можно считать завершенной после отскока цены от поддержки, построенной по минимумам 17 и 26 декабря.
📌
В качестве подтверждения выступает появившийся сигнал на покупку на индикаторе схождения/расхождения скользящих средних на младших таймфреймах. К концу этой недели ожидается рост акций до 3730–3780 рублей.
🏦
Т-Технологии (ТКС)
#T
📌
Ралли в акциях Т-Технологий позволило рынку без особых препятствий преодолеть уже четыре серьезные области сопротивления. При этом осцилляторы пока ещё не сигнализируют о серьезной перекупленности в бумагах.
📌
Это даёт шанс на дальнейший рост бумаг в ближайшие дни. Ожидается, что к концу недели акции Т-Технологий будут стоить в районе 2930–2980 рублей.
@Russia_Stocks
Какая из этих трёх акций вам больше нравится?
■ Т-Технологии
👍
■ Новатэк
⚡️
■ Хэдхантер
🔥 | https://t.me/Russia_Stocks/4179?embed=1&mode=tme | https://t.me/ | https://t.me/s/Russia_Stocks | 2,300 | 0 | 1,736,838,139 | 1,739,441,220 | 0 | 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| [{"ner":"ЦБ","lemma":"цб","label":"ORG","start_pos":176,"end_pos":178},{"ner":"РФ","lemma":"рф","label":"LOC","start_pos":179,"end_pos":181},{"ner":"Новатэка","lemma":"новатэка","label":"PER","start_pos":553,"end_pos":561},{"ner":"Новатэка","lemma":"новатэка","label":"PER","start_pos":973,"end_pos":981},{"ner":"Хэдхантера","lemma":"хэдхантера","label":"PER","start_pos":1043,"end_pos":1053},{"ner":"Т-Технологии (ТКС)","lemma":"т-технология (ткс)","label":"ORG","start_pos":1498,"end_pos":1516},{"ner":"Т-Технологий","lemma":"т-технологий","label":"LOC","start_pos":1537,"end_pos":1549},{"ner":"30–29","lemma":"30–29","label":"DATE","start_pos":1861,"end_pos":1866},{"ner":"26 декабря","lemma":"26 декабря","label":"DATE","start_pos":1276,"end_pos":1286},{"ner":"30–10","lemma":"30–10","label":"DATE","start_pos":1001,"end_pos":1006},{"ner":"30–37","lemma":"30–37","label":"DATE","start_pos":1480,"end_pos":1485},{"ner":"2025","lemma":"2025","label":"NUM","start_pos":55,"end_pos":59},{"ner":"4","lemma":"4","label":"NUM","start_pos":742,"end_pos":743},{"ner":"1030","lemma":"1030","label":"NUM","start_pos":999,"end_pos":1003},{"ner":"1045","lemma":"1045","label":"NUM","start_pos":1004,"end_pos":1008},{"ner":"17","lemma":"17","label":"NUM","start_pos":1271,"end_pos":1273},{"ner":"3730","lemma":"3730","label":"NUM","start_pos":1478,"end_pos":1482},{"ner":"3780","lemma":"3780","label":"NUM","start_pos":1483,"end_pos":1487},{"ner":"2930","lemma":"2930","label":"NUM","start_pos":1859,"end_pos":1863},{"ner":"2980","lemma":"2980","label":"NUM","start_pos":1864,"end_pos":1868}] | NEUTRAL | rus | NOT SPAM | 283 | 0 | 12 | 0.98916 | 0.01084 | 0 | 26 | 39 | 7 | 13 | 99 | 18 | 43 | true | true |
10 | null | 🇷🇺
Итоговый обзор главных событий дня на нашем рынке:
✅
В Рунете сегодня произошёл масштабный сбой
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Депутаты хотят лишить ЦБ возможности замораживать вклады россиян
✅
Есть высокие риски для коррекции индекса RGBI к отметке 102,5 пунктов (Промсвязьбанк)
✅
Цена акций Газпрома выросла до максимума за 2 месяца
✅
БКС запустил внебиржевые торги долларом, евро и дирхамом
✅
Чистая прибыль ВТБ в 2024-м составит 550 млрд рублей, а по итогам 2025г — 400 млрд (Костин)
✅
«Лукойл» сменил своего исполнительного директора
✅
Объём торгов на Мосбирже в декабре составил 142,3 трлн руб.
✅
Целевая цена по акциям Аэрофлота составляет 72 рубля, апсайд 18% (Промсвязьбанк)
✅
10 стран ЕС призывают ввести новые санкции против газа и СПГ из России (Bloomberg)
✅
28 января состоится "День инвестора" Henderson
✅
В 2024 году банки РФ выдали ипотеки на 38,9% меньше по сравнению с рекордным 2023г
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"Новые санкции против судов создают дополнительные сложности" (Совкомфлот)
✅
Глава ВТБ ожидает сохранения "достаточно высокой" ставки ЦБ в первом полугодии 2025 года
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Пассажиропоток Аэрофлота в декабре вырос на 7,4%
✅
Промсвязьбанк поставил на пересмотр акции Совкомфлота
✅
Дивиденды Полюса могут составить около 1100 рублей за 2025 год, доходность 7,5% (АКБФ)
✅
ЦБ РФ повысил курс доллара на завтра до 103,44 рублей
✅
Индекс МосБиржи по итогам торгов снизился на 0,23%
*Автор обзора: "Russian Stocks"
❗️
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лайк
👍 | https://t.me/Russia_Stocks/4180?embed=1&mode=tme | https://t.me/ | https://t.me/s/Russia_Stocks | 2,300 | 0 | 1,736,866,885 | 1,739,441,220 | 0 | 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| NEUTRAL | rus | SPAM | 229 | 0 | 14 | 0.983974 | 0.016026 | 0 | 21 | 26 | 1 | 15 | 77 | 3 | 35 | true | true |
10 | null | В какие европейские акции стоит инвестировать?
💡
Мы имеем позитивный взгляд на отдельные сектора США, а также рынки Японии и Китая, ожидая солидного подъема в 2025 году. В то же время, перспективы европейского рынка акций не впечатляют. Аналитики в среднем прогнозируют рост на уровне индексов всего в 4% до конца года. Включая дивиденды, доходность составит порядка 7%.
Прогнозируемая доходность представляет замедление по сравнению с приблизительно 10%-ной доходностью прошлого года. Как ожидается, расширение ВВП продолжит слабеть, что приведет к умеренным темпам роста выручки и прибыли компаний.
С учетом того, что мультипликаторы уже находятся на уровне средних исторических значений, потенциал для пересмотра оценок для индекса минимален. Возможное повышение импортных тарифов США президентом Трампом, усиление конкуренции в ключевых отраслях Европы со стороны КНР и политическая неопределенность обеспечивают дополнительные риски.
Тем не менее, под поверхностью рынка можно все еще найти несколько выдающихся инвестиционных идей, которые, вероятно будут слабо коррелировать с динамикой широкого рынка и покажут опережающую доходность. Одним из главных факторов дифференциации является объем отдачи капитала акционерам. Выделяем несколько компаний с высокими дивидендами и байбеком.
• Дивидендные истории.
Возобновившиеся опасения по поводу инфляции привели к более жесткому пересмотру рынком ожиданий снижения ставок и к росту доходности глобальных облигаций.
Увеличение доходности бондов повышает относительную планку для доходов от акций, однако ряд европейских компаний все еще предлагает значительно более высокую дивидендную доходность. Представленные ниже компании также демонстрируют солидные темпы повышения выплат, что должно поддержать доходность в случае ускорения инфляции.
✅
M&G PLC #MNG
- британская инвестиционная компания, специализирующаяся на управлении активами и страховании.
🎯
Целевая цена - £2.37, потенциал роста +18%
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Дивидендная доходность - 10%, повышение в 2025 году - 6%
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Intesa Sanpaolo #ISP
- одна из крупнейших банковских групп Италии и Европы.
🎯
Целевая цена - €4.7, потенциал роста +14%
🔹
Дивидендная доходность - 9%, повышение в 2025 году - 9%
✅
BNP Paribas #BNP
- одна из крупнейших банковских групп в мире, базирующаяся во Франции.
🎯
Целевая цена - €76.2, потенциал роста +22%
🔹
Дивидендная доходность - 8%, повышение в 2025 году - 5%
✅
ENI #ENI
- итальянская транснациональная нефтегазовая компания.
🎯
Целевая цена - €17, потенциал роста +22.5%
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Дивидендная доходность - 8%, повышение в 2025 году - 5%
• Высокие байбеки.
Программы обратного выкупа исторически не были в центре внимания в Европе. Однако при очень низких мультипликаторах в отдельных сегментах рынка появляются тактические возможности для компаний «покупать дешево», где усиленный байбек может способствовать росту прибыли на акцию, превышающему базовое расширение чистой прибыли. Выделяем несколько компаний с наиболее высокими ожиданиями по сокращению числа акций.
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ISS #ISS
- датская компания, специализирующаяся на предоставлении услуг в сфере управления объектами (facility management).
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Целевая цена - Dkr124.50, потенциал роста +28.5%
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Прогнозируемое сокращение числа акций до 2026 года - 20%, CAGR EPS +22%, CAGR чистой прибыли +9%
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Signify NV #LIGHT
- нидерландская компания, являющаяся мировым лидером в области осветительных решений и технологий.
🎯
Целевая цена - €34, потенциал роста +57%
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Сокращение числа акций - 19%, CAGR EPS +27%, CAGR чистой прибыли +14%
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Shell #SHEL
- одна из крупнейших международных нефтегазовых компаний.
🎯
Целевая цена - €44, потенциал роста +37%
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Сокращение числа акций - 14%, CAGR EPS +15%, CAGR чистой прибыли +4%
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Imperial Brands #IMB
- британская компания, специализирующаяся на производстве и продаже табачной продукции.
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Целевая цена - £30, потенциал роста +15%
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Сокращение числа акций - 12%, CAGR EPS +11%, CAGR чистой прибыли +3%
#аналитика #акции #Европа
@aabeta | https://t.me/aabeta/6396?embed=1&mode=tme | https://t.me/ | https://t.me/s/aabeta | 4,300 | 0 | 1,737,112,684 | 1,739,441,220 | 0 | 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10 | null | HODL
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| [{"ner":"HODL","lemma":"HODL","label":"ORG","start_pos":0,"end_pos":4}] | POSITIVE | eng | NOT SPAM | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0.666667 | 0.333333 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | true | true |
10 | null | Важные события недели - 21.01.2025
В центре внимания на этой неделе окажутся действия нового президента США Дональда Трампа, который прошел инаугурацию 20 января. Уже было подписано девять документов и отменено 78 указов прошлого президента Байдена. Помимо этого, Трамп заявил, что планирует повысить импортные тарифы до 25% для Канады и Мексики к 1 февраля. Экономический календарь относительно легок с публикацией предварительных PMI и индикаторов сентимента потребителя от Мичиганского университета. В то же время, сезон отчетности набирает обороты. Особое внимание будет сосредоточено на Netflix #NFLX, а также на потребительских компаниях.
⚠️
Макроэкономические данные:
24 января:
• Предварительные индексы деловой активности (PMI) в промышленной сфере и секторе услуг от S&P Global (январь)
• Индексы настроений и инфляционных ожиданий потребителей от Мичиганского университета (январь)
📰
Заметные отчетности:
21 января
- Netflix #NFLX, Prologis #PLD, 3M #MMM, Capital One Financial #COF, United Airlines #UAL, Fifth Third #FITB, Seagate #STX
22 января
- Procter & Gamble #PG, Johnson & Johnson #JNJ, Abbott #ABT, GE Vernova #GEV, Travelers #TRV, Halliburton #HAL, Steel Dynamics #STLD
23 января
- Intuitive Surgical Group #ISRG, Union Pacific #UNP, CSX #CSX, Freeport-McMoRan #FCX
24 января
- American Express #AXP, Verizon Communications #VZ, NextEra Energy #NEE, Fair Isaac #FICO, Archer-Daniels-Midland #ADM
#США #неделя_впереди
@aabeta | https://t.me/aabeta/6398?embed=1&mode=tme | https://t.me/ | https://t.me/s/aabeta | 3,100 | 0 | 1,737,441,945 | 1,739,441,220 | 0 | 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10 | null | Приглашение на вебинар: «Стратегия 2025»
Дата и время проведения:
23 января 18:00 мск
В начале 2025 года мир столкнулся с беспрецедентными вызовами:
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Геополитическая нестабильность
: По данным Eurasia Group, 2025 год может стать самым опасным с точки зрения геополитики со времен холодной войны.
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Изменения в глобальном лидерстве
: Возвращение Дональда Трампа на пост президента США вносит значительные коррективы в международные отношения и экономические прогнозы.
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Экономические риски
: Усиление протекционистских мер и торговых войн может привести к росту инфляции и нарушению глобальных цепочек поставок.
Почему стоит посетить этот вебинар?
Дмитрий Котегов и Василий Белокрылецкий предоставят глубокий анализ текущей ситуации и поделятся прогнозами, которые помогут вам сформировать стратегию на 2025 год.
Регистрация
по ссылке
(просьба регистрироваться всем по этой новой ссылке) | https://t.me/aabeta/6399?embed=1&mode=tme | https://t.me/ | https://t.me/s/aabeta | 2,900 | 0 | 1,737,469,353 | 1,739,441,220 | 0 | 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| [{"ner":"Eurasia Group","lemma":"eurasia group","label":"ORG","start_pos":194,"end_pos":207},{"ner":"Дональда Трампа","lemma":"дональд трамп","label":"PER","start_pos":346,"end_pos":361},{"ner":"США","lemma":"сша","label":"LOC","start_pos":381,"end_pos":384},{"ner":"Дмитрий Котегов","lemma":"дмитрий котегов","label":"PER","start_pos":648,"end_pos":663},{"ner":"Василий Белокрылецкий","lemma":"василий белокрылецкий","label":"PER","start_pos":666,"end_pos":687},{"ner":"18:00","lemma":"18:00","label":"DATE","start_pos":76,"end_pos":81},{"ner":"23 января","lemma":"23 января","label":"DATE","start_pos":66,"end_pos":75},{"ner":"2025","lemma":"2025","label":"NUM","start_pos":35,"end_pos":39},{"ner":"00","lemma":"00","label":"NUM","start_pos":79,"end_pos":81},{"ner":"2025","lemma":"2025","label":"NUM","start_pos":95,"end_pos":99},{"ner":"2025","lemma":"2025","label":"NUM","start_pos":209,"end_pos":213},{"ner":"2025","lemma":"2025","label":"NUM","start_pos":803,"end_pos":807}] | NEUTRAL | rus | SPAM | 122 | 0 | 2 | 0.986928 | 0.013072 | 0 | 21 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 46 | 1 | 20 | true | true |
Subsets and Splits