add chronos

results/chronos_bolt_base/all_results.csv

@@ -0,0 +1,98 @@
+dataset,model,eval_metrics/MSE[mean],eval_metrics/MSE[0.5],eval_metrics/MAE[0.5],eval_metrics/MASE[0.5],eval_metrics/MAPE[0.5],eval_metrics/sMAPE[0.5],eval_metrics/MSIS,eval_metrics/RMSE[mean],eval_metrics/NRMSE[mean],eval_metrics/ND[0.5],eval_metrics/mean_weighted_sum_quantile_loss,domain,num_variates
+ett1/W/short,chronos_bolt_base,1637702.857142857,1637702.857142857,984.2157505580357,1.697032566940297,0.666663578578404,0.5685134955814907,9.14604088208896,1279.72764959692,0.5092341759928624,0.3916429381614763,0.2957891883410253,Energy,7
+bitbrains_rnd/H/short,chronos_bolt_base,1862107.1401901026,1862107.1401901026,167.78725864200163,5.896930701328324,2.093075689675331,0.5790102790268957,204.7432932673675,1364.5904661069937,5.972115791889295,0.7343191689389569,0.6242384340368896,Web/CloudOps,2
+m4_monthly/M/short,chronos_bolt_base,1934416.6254444444,1934416.6254444444,565.3889969618056,0.9488310602612807,0.15900606134202747,0.13194064977433947,7.587627584559401,1390.8330688635658,0.28906285968043066,0.11750724364583098,0.09380530663177639,Econ/Fin,1
+solar/10T/short,chronos_bolt_base,24.91766651459854,24.91766651459854,2.2401119482778284,0.9906698531781523,5.422043839073332,1.5298807037427768,7.271072855384362,4.991759861471557,1.4521024031280567,0.6516483231649629,0.5112793983053023,Energy,1
+solar/10T/medium,chronos_bolt_base,27.85010299159478,27.85010299159478,2.342676494069343,1.0267698263919258,3.019734768418504,1.5087594696969697,12.948193661776722,5.277319678737946,1.1710581498219121,0.5198491976578926,0.43609419436705327,Energy,1
+solar/10T/long,chronos_bolt_base,27.28116858019059,27.28116858019059,2.431408008287713,1.070707661285413,1.8970119800398604,1.5390251165855637,13.35865589006699,5.223137809802704,1.1288975630233355,0.5255098898826686,0.44302118332719465,Energy,1
+ett2/D/short,chronos_bolt_base,110584.17777777778,110584.17777777778,198.94429563492062,1.321560085664585,0.4289632161458333,0.13877987331814237,12.00306947385034,332.5419940064379,0.19032255699444697,0.1138610693600528,0.09350919339670898,Energy,7
+kdd_cup_2018/H/short,chronos_bolt_base,3601.213302953579,3601.213302953579,14.450476878814838,0.6006888731041619,0.48840053611269896,0.33746645861147007,5.236226175646046,60.01011000617795,1.2561202894071744,0.3024746529746388,0.2464258780339759,Nature,1
+kdd_cup_2018/H/medium,chronos_bolt_base,3860.4831565690915,3860.4831565690915,16.90618404251118,0.6998676270323146,0.6931535595790342,0.38850352742295724,8.984689313790726,62.13278648643638,1.300551748879755,0.3538770505354814,0.301134325458312,Nature,1
+kdd_cup_2018/H/long,chronos_bolt_base,2762.337694295206,2762.337694295206,15.048608222356325,0.6843417636819901,0.7001632592516628,0.4016249154123775,9.436826810869432,52.55794606237201,1.233221795732577,0.3531011587330042,0.2999840609021186,Nature,1
+car_parts/M/short,chronos_bolt_base,1.3899242390480209,1.3899242390480209,0.4799365107877267,0.8550865270441237,0.8074493636423123,1.8830558621774114,15.632787068211941,1.1789504820169594,2.8270023186179207,1.1508385207706973,0.9945303246497433,Sales,1
+ett2/15T/short,chronos_bolt_base,8.015497116815476,8.015497116815476,1.774357677641369,0.7660546833993936,0.11151654067459382,0.13077163696289062,5.229132122228613,2.8311653284143397,0.13440548988559115,0.08423507115680039,0.06655960283039539,Energy,7
+ett2/15T/medium,chronos_bolt_base,14.56584697420635,14.56584697420635,2.2833748759920636,0.9223355700407027,0.1356612976820875,0.16467289031498017,19.285348025183158,3.8165228905649644,0.20338941324564422,0.12168518034988743,0.11037062915529153,Energy,7
+ett2/15T/long,chronos_bolt_base,13.41281994047619,13.41281994047619,2.2688019283234127,0.9399972036761723,0.14283708066403494,0.1703219943576389,22.250926961226273,3.662351695355894,0.19517335118285103,0.12090856158967672,0.11144151661356012,Energy,7
+ett2/H/short,chronos_bolt_base,105.44942336309524,105.44942336309524,6.348521205357143,0.7329295674936381,0.11784721462075197,0.10994342622302827,5.0960166727478855,10.268856964779246,0.13023767841539116,0.08051691303057987,0.06338550778288533,Energy,7
+ett2/H/medium,chronos_bolt_base,244.33089657738094,244.33089657738094,9.599712844122024,1.0272940455036863,0.1710583676728104,0.1664334251767113,18.199819696901887,15.631087504629386,0.21063895610110636,0.1293623039188654,0.11465361726312787,Energy,7
+ett2/H/long,chronos_bolt_base,224.928373015873,224.928373015873,9.312564070767197,1.0364106818165182,0.17759129746604124,0.1746034652467758,24.006984061033005,14.997612243816446,0.2053807566641957,0.1275283974705072,0.11690447869172055,Energy,7
+electricity/15T/short,chronos_bolt_base,135907.45632882882,135907.45632882882,49.87405810106982,0.9354659393109583,0.16379419442124582,0.16040052671690244,10.329555481385434,368.65628480853115,0.7266942047342608,0.0983115994006473,0.08170543871710868,Energy,1
+electricity/15T/medium,chronos_bolt_base,270421.2961891892,270421.2961891892,55.808359375,0.8616317535149881,0.1345887554162063,0.13608734735712275,11.655945409426788,520.020476701821,0.8960476465270057,0.09616342300915973,0.08272175294927747,Energy,1
+electricity/15T/long,chronos_bolt_base,326307.66765165166,326307.66765165166,61.58918693693694,0.9325404633386237,0.13968727705178732,0.14090516713002066,13.88592940429026,571.2334616001164,0.9011907928812531,0.09716449042241929,0.0841752118446624,Energy,1
+solar/W/short,chronos_bolt_base,1240030.598540146,1240030.598540146,898.2242244525547,0.97969148428518,0.2002263452014784,0.1785203279369939,6.657218187417857,1113.566611631359,0.22730678597325427,0.1833500209246751,0.1325786066309884,Energy,1
+restaurant/D/short,chronos_bolt_base,146.59598860558512,146.59598860558512,7.329031970906883,0.7003668206803989,0.7123910795799477,0.4019803323030494,4.773378185821041,12.107683040350253,0.5572236267366586,0.3372990324975929,0.26395200093744947,Sales,1
+loop_seattle/5T/short,chronos_bolt_base,55.0410236874355,55.0410236874355,3.966980963078077,0.6275878697418952,0.10770698366273421,0.08569417939712634,5.317936025577888,7.418963787985186,0.12721885363418728,0.06802496749326967,0.05459927977006243,Transport,1
+loop_seattle/5T/medium,chronos_bolt_base,146.8680854134417,146.8680854134417,7.22436071941112,1.135585946635922,0.2522527890357932,0.15521295726606843,24.5154138275978,12.118914366123795,0.21562038326141944,0.1285362186808159,0.11596733754582497,Transport,1
+loop_seattle/5T/long,chronos_bolt_base,170.01955051026258,170.01955051026258,7.879117647058823,1.23862441602075,0.279172541046755,0.16530008048998107,31.4111024210826,13.039154516695573,0.2305349185105509,0.13930441136915608,0.12901944356768974,Transport,1
+ett2/W/short,chronos_bolt_base,2968321.1428571427,2968321.1428571427,1157.533900669643,0.7390983764105259,0.12115598576409477,0.13002267905644008,9.737916992439338,1722.8816392477872,0.14452335614753078,0.0970993481899074,0.08824237370253157,Energy,7
+jena_weather/10T/short,chronos_bolt_base,990.0174603174603,990.0174603174603,6.454503813244048,0.3055144625325652,0.33029700969827586,0.5684653630332341,2.3650532786152816,31.46454290653942,0.19543424663430706,0.04009055824794593,0.03264516028143257,Nature,21
+jena_weather/10T/medium,chronos_bolt_base,1674.3982683982683,1674.3982683982683,10.41922123015873,0.610204522298673,0.7352407092245915,0.6723962560876623,14.138291090260097,40.919411877472875,0.25112173116130515,0.06394258256948522,0.05711892334964378,Nature,21
+jena_weather/10T/long,chronos_bolt_base,1990.740476190476,1990.740476190476,11.394970444775133,0.6566827497290605,0.7498806880783081,0.6817800047536375,17.292130405850955,44.617714824836966,0.2730234476782145,0.06972777806388322,0.0638386290209679,Nature,21
+loop_seattle/D/short,chronos_bolt_base,18.85893317853457,18.85893317853457,3.002606182275542,0.902996881730335,0.0555427165469395,0.05544497841282895,7.60934211347442,4.342687322215885,0.07760963051567187,0.05366058827177343,0.04373420875712694,Transport,1
+m4_weekly/W/short,chronos_bolt_base,240658.12899078638,240658.12899078638,257.7035301049925,2.077568679616644,0.06262108946040684,0.06252293232193794,18.150360193219555,490.56918879072134,0.08937410368059916,0.04694958946613656,0.038167982341959686,Econ/Fin,1
+bitbrains_rnd/5T/short,chronos_bolt_base,1671863.653749941,1671863.653749941,127.42979277534573,1.7053983818241878,1.4627559211207968,0.707314202842545,54.50279702435174,1293.0056665575526,5.290605896521299,0.521405923026342,0.4382582062335134,Web/CloudOps,2
+bitbrains_rnd/5T/medium,chronos_bolt_base,2281604.610208718,2281604.610208718,149.53361355263047,4.449086047115958,0.4434865236103318,0.7815086506717606,168.7362047616823,1510.4981331364559,6.355434809835572,0.6291640565218989,0.6048791893642634,Web/CloudOps,2
+bitbrains_rnd/5T/long,chronos_bolt_base,2883435.272675469,2883435.272675469,204.54286072472604,3.397353175638085,2.509970187794728,0.7607044521104127,127.2130111390149,1698.0681001289286,6.504916605762482,0.7835576507310926,0.7561433967402097,Web/CloudOps,2
+m4_hourly/H/short,chronos_bolt_base,1154587.9291465378,1154587.9291465378,244.31536835748793,0.8365145126402084,0.09040574520682366,0.08339686247845587,6.862285470912232,1074.5175331964285,0.1466953608029921,0.03335444048484022,0.0253167358885586,Econ/Fin,1
+m4_quarterly/Q/short,chronos_bolt_base,1878597.112,1878597.112,578.2017669270833,1.2239122933946907,0.11795034917195638,0.10642768001556396,9.212867524605457,1370.6192439915617,0.2294175256235893,0.09678079398133374,0.07709249547454494,Econ/Fin,1
+electricity/H/short,chronos_bolt_base,1656585.3963063064,1656585.3963063064,162.56330095720722,0.8733264036372806,0.17752713149427762,0.12113126497010927,10.220478564391842,1287.0840673034168,0.6075955954330621,0.07674148732770672,0.06364138000128299,Energy,1
+electricity/H/medium,chronos_bolt_base,6086015.733333333,6086015.733333333,244.77492539414413,1.0781065063092021,0.2064802301071843,0.13147978911528715,14.464545125174473,2466.985150610626,0.9629456019872782,0.0955437197612291,0.08104565793637458,Energy,1
+electricity/H/long,chronos_bolt_base,9533104.792216217,9533104.792216217,285.59446246246245,1.2375023517676198,0.3056430592497765,0.1453674514358108,19.17841308210171,3087.572637561134,1.217737735031261,0.11263837152385812,0.09777151298548634,Energy,1
+us_births/W/short,chronos_bolt_base,2416102.8571428573,2416102.8571428573,1196.1185825892858,1.0874998159877778,0.0162328194294657,0.0161916869027274,6.2983219711131095,1554.3818247595593,0.021100580857093935,0.016237192473928914,0.012896095320187225,Healthcare,1
+sz_taxi/H/short,chronos_bolt_base,7.2138285840678416,7.2138285840678416,1.850052271133814,0.5624312720355508,0.8914136968107305,0.29661895882370126,4.001221239572409,2.6858571414108834,0.25020416684544455,0.1723437855210726,0.13589458238301488,Transport,1
+bizitobs_service/10S/short,chronos_bolt_base,74289.73037037037,74289.73037037037,83.33071428571428,3.316185566818455,0.509556568287037,0.12136096126818784,23.79521836678657,272.56142494925865,0.2019222171721475,0.06173405715883179,0.0506699603662428,Web/CloudOps,2
+bizitobs_service/10S/medium,chronos_bolt_base,178716.58666666667,178716.58666666667,136.66095238095238,4.976573692925505,0.8096351841517857,0.17016632564484127,118.80394433478976,422.74884584900605,0.31817074350890406,0.1028542531922439,0.09617062672222003,Web/CloudOps,2
+bizitobs_service/10S/long,chronos_bolt_base,250344.83809523808,250344.83809523808,160.49285714285713,5.297548535439662,1.092973193617725,0.1889264400421627,136.52619238693387,500.3447192638672,0.37067136364929165,0.1188982393991061,0.11281462576051575,Web/CloudOps,2
+m4_yearly/A/short,chronos_bolt_base,3926423.548939381,3926423.548939381,943.1364150779142,3.5065536413628347,0.17160038939618508,0.1606578614921323,28.36657265593715,1981.5205143877215,0.3177459995107989,0.1512362959192286,0.12148547393095581,Econ/Fin,1
+m_dense/H/short,chronos_bolt_base,40758.008888888886,40758.008888888886,85.42458333333333,0.7753901744575882,0.29064242572650095,0.20852413601345487,8.178441102389538,201.8861285202351,0.3580956851961076,0.15152192439153112,0.12502506245177236,Transport,1
+m_dense/H/medium,chronos_bolt_base,62099.83111111111,62099.83111111111,106.3934375,0.880549541091933,0.32194249720185003,0.23678356594509548,12.891926128893124,249.1983770234291,0.4335736931509727,0.1851111398673564,0.1572970574487073,Transport,1
+m_dense/H/long,chronos_bolt_base,66123.91901234568,66123.91901234568,113.97787808641975,0.9382430465794104,0.34497031762786773,0.2529281804591049,14.969188965801013,257.1457155239917,0.4451572466209935,0.19731255596175787,0.1698264565139523,Transport,1
+bizitobs_application/10S/short,chronos_bolt_base,16877896.81777778,16877896.81777778,1702.1131944444444,5.533289563949242,0.08211168077256945,0.08005557590060763,39.43577764850054,4108.271755589907,0.158439620381589,0.06564370236884388,0.05395850630797557,Web/CloudOps,2
+bizitobs_application/10S/medium,chronos_bolt_base,35344793.6,35344793.6,2822.6960416666666,9.720343035454437,0.13773546854654947,0.13452266693115233,226.30847851960183,5945.148744985276,0.2334484935973209,0.11083896586540928,0.10350154393226361,Web/CloudOps,2
+bizitobs_application/10S/long,chronos_bolt_base,34854545.63555556,34854545.63555556,3006.7419444444445,10.483797272184969,0.14623284233940972,0.14441638522677952,267.4218792481522,5903.7738469182195,0.2276849592171546,0.11595801850619644,0.10897609302301696,Web/CloudOps,2
+bizitobs_l2c/H/short,chronos_bolt_base,56.59241691468254,56.59241691468254,4.475569467695933,0.43226974962129694,0.39512736734440573,0.6075935969277034,2.824354985704549,7.522793159105369,0.4054978174820326,0.24124465644031454,0.18900315239264084,Web/CloudOps,7
+bizitobs_l2c/H/medium,chronos_bolt_base,74.00342261904763,74.00342261904763,4.9346540178571425,0.4952064150955139,0.4992526891357519,0.7555233909970238,6.702804550165073,8.60252420043371,0.5208959068201737,0.29880079609028215,0.25443033413420424,Web/CloudOps,7
+bizitobs_l2c/H/long,chronos_bolt_base,77.46104910714286,77.46104910714286,5.131363544766865,0.5557104860687487,0.6086717150326638,0.7860786559089782,10.303877604915673,8.801195890737965,0.5376024468218877,0.3134384953415683,0.27763608084978597,Web/CloudOps,7
+m_dense/D/short,chronos_bolt_base,8617.896296296296,8617.896296296296,48.93263310185185,0.7163139371946142,0.1261890544283381,0.10274972421151621,7.203724648047755,92.83262517184514,0.160707005916507,0.0847096259838891,0.06899769121814445,Transport,1
+covid_deaths/D/short,chronos_bolt_base,641887.5348370927,641887.5348370927,163.83189223057644,38.85475067368658,0.11393528488073344,0.3895279580787907,671.2264949543455,801.178840732263,0.30144743781013716,0.06164254674943142,0.047047327147045126,Healthcare,1
+bitbrains_fast_storage/H/short,chronos_bolt_base,4154865.579998115,4154865.579998115,370.11422855135424,1.0698664907888997,3.6234949145704918,0.6006320591572843,20.343709052297786,2038.3487385622007,5.809955878906388,1.0549457496442163,0.7740167427927402,Web/CloudOps,2
+sz_taxi/15T/short,chronos_bolt_base,16.80141798305861,16.80141798305861,2.746761261470734,0.5480560313979771,1189750434414.7786,0.39788074982471955,3.8733528069603222,4.0989532789553245,0.38326966207940016,0.2568339253588622,0.2019092854571707,Transport,1
+sz_taxi/15T/medium,chronos_bolt_base,17.62566606570513,17.62566606570513,2.8628651676014956,0.5593709400332562,12212732164351.562,0.4134220742771768,12.978669723835775,4.198293232458296,0.3907212611064638,0.26643738936930866,0.24436162555854513,Transport,1
+sz_taxi/15T/long,chronos_bolt_base,17.42504674145299,17.42504674145299,2.8735137330840455,0.5454542094286499,8343799315910.527,0.4125438896679131,14.279687794463495,4.174331891626849,0.38636872407978673,0.26596731249482386,0.24847311180086307,Transport,1
+m4_daily/D/short,chronos_bolt_base,359007.7726182027,359007.7726182027,171.73530096699787,3.198472027009148,0.03689049016168729,0.029721920381244535,25.63182521808405,599.1725733194091,0.09255560416865097,0.02652835801549981,0.021064453825511368,Econ/Fin,1
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results/chronos_bolt_base/config.json

@@ -0,0 +1,6 @@
+{
+    "model": "chronos_bolt_base",
+    "model_type": "pretrained",
+    "model_dtype": "float32",
+    "model_link": "https://huggingface.co/amazon/chronos-bolt-base"
+}

results/chronos_bolt_small/all_results.csv

@@ -0,0 +1,98 @@
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+ett1/H/medium,chronos_bolt_small,157.8949962797619,157.8949962797619,7.145826357886905,1.3700125038084177,4001902492418.3433,0.43252530779157367,22.94345442636891,12.565627572061887,0.6018637739866665,0.34226814342114786,0.29521104781453134,Energy,7
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+ett2/15T/short,chronos_bolt_small,8.874512300037203,8.874512300037203,1.8448710123697916,0.7884778043843235,0.11314174895982547,0.13499590555826824,6.149811028217282,2.9790119670852624,0.14142429578119484,0.0875825900044363,0.0696808941397827,Energy,7
+ett2/15T/medium,chronos_bolt_small,15.629650297619047,15.629650297619047,2.444175037202381,0.987072940153611,0.14524237187367742,0.1760097152467758,21.486993904189745,3.9534352527414747,0.21068572085537884,0.1302545120101857,0.11893361971897869,Energy,7
+ett2/15T/long,chronos_bolt_small,14.292485119047619,14.292485119047619,2.3867928447420637,0.9909006690947088,0.14854595336778753,0.17585197327628968,24.522332682120307,3.780540321045078,0.2014718369827551,0.12719651110467434,0.11831873650467974,Energy,7
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+m4_quarterly/Q/short,chronos_bolt_small,1896376.86,1896376.86,585.8868444010417,1.2475898084604118,0.1197826353708903,0.10755746253331502,9.388318385928843,1377.0899970590158,0.23050061574082226,0.09806714062065756,0.07808190195854547,Econ/Fin,1
+loop_seattle/D/short,chronos_bolt_small,19.60233971878225,19.60233971878225,3.060185274767802,0.9190818792032956,0.05662012877725103,0.05658228572062048,8.86321832717542,4.427452960651558,0.07912450584315937,0.05468960366297867,0.04525570344281874,Transport,1
+saugeen/D/short,chronos_bolt_small,1155.6327083333333,1155.6327083333333,13.305096028645833,2.955891680894076,0.33137659708658856,0.35436859130859377,25.926919631490293,33.994598222854954,1.1010931361754406,0.43095523051211054,0.3536144153186923,Nature,1
+m4_hourly/H/short,chronos_bolt_small,645176.2705314009,645176.2705314009,189.36870974235106,0.8664629999959396,0.0910649384085491,0.08555244286087207,7.913673639935348,803.2286539531573,0.10965844070356369,0.02585300876181515,0.020340330251897524,Econ/Fin,1
+ett1/D/short,chronos_bolt_small,43869.752380952385,43869.752380952385,140.97366071428573,1.7044706839436414,1.4686419774615576,0.471808830140129,10.706726689216435,209.45107395511818,0.5501301933062206,0.370271996010171,0.2829632876974926,Energy,7
+ett2/H/short,chronos_bolt_small,110.0364769345238,110.0364769345238,6.501763625372024,0.7441899058614324,0.1196023779275041,0.11121501014346168,5.180578311676437,10.489827307183079,0.1330401971856921,0.08246045329859093,0.06505060295602244,Energy,7
+ett2/H/medium,chronos_bolt_small,244.46411830357144,244.46411830357144,9.798995535714285,1.0547745627660827,0.1777679161404736,0.17103362310500372,19.87117776867037,15.635348358881277,0.21069637385220344,0.13204776634197452,0.11764721693871875,Energy,7
+ett2/H/long,chronos_bolt_small,223.79381613756613,223.79381613756613,9.623729952050265,1.0705467567998597,0.186209365262439,0.18072177140170304,25.056374459860773,14.959739841907885,0.20486212326881117,0.13178957472372943,0.12132135014288331,Energy,7
+bizitobs_l2c/H/short,chronos_bolt_small,56.69740125868056,56.69740125868056,4.757555764818949,0.48485269752478427,0.4837764675954549,0.6337886991954985,3.3283010866874836,7.529767676275315,0.40587376181953994,0.2564444400346333,0.20428075337114673,Web/CloudOps,7
+bizitobs_l2c/H/medium,chronos_bolt_small,82.62676711309524,82.62676711309524,5.375191824776786,0.5702583877357228,0.5226729237280244,0.8235517955961682,9.885309334504088,9.089926683592957,0.5504088674973248,0.3254760294377697,0.2849905241547544,Web/CloudOps,7
+bizitobs_l2c/H/long,chronos_bolt_small,83.09990079365079,83.09990079365079,5.490910993303571,0.6121257071120503,0.6219646197957294,0.8240482390873016,12.442179959459832,9.115914698682234,0.5568263799455396,0.3354006912160306,0.2952912552938067,Web/CloudOps,7

results/chronos_bolt_small/config.json

@@ -0,0 +1,6 @@
+{
+    "model": "chronos_bolt_small",
+    "model_type": "pretrained",
+    "model_dtype": "float32",
+    "model_link": "https://huggingface.co/amazon/chronos-bolt-small"
+}