It is probably not the case that Bernhard is a rhino. There is a better than even chance that Lily is yellow. It is unlikely that Mary is in the park.
It is probably not the case that mary is in the park, or Lily is yellow.
It is probable that mary is in the park, or Lily is yellow.
It is probably not the case that mary is in the park, or Lily is yellow.
Mary is in the park, or Lily is yellow.