There is a better than even chance that John took the milk. There is a better than even chance that Jeff discarded the apple. It is certain that Brian is a frog.
It is probably not the case that jeff discarded the apple, and John took the milk.
It is probably not the case that jeff discarded the apple, and John took the milk.
It is highly likely that jeff discarded the apple, and John took the milk.
Jeff discarded the apple, and John took the milk.