context: It is likely that Bernhard is yellow. Chances are slight that Daniel left the milk. Chances are about even that Mary took the apple. Chances are slight that if Daniel left the milk, and Mary took the apple, then Brian is a frog. It is likely that if Bernhard is yellow, and Mary took the apple, then Lily is a rhino. There is a better than even chance that if either Bernhard is yellow, or Mary took the apple, then Julius is a swan.
hypothesis: There is a better than even chance that mary took the apple, or Daniel left the milk.
valid_hypothesis: There is a better than even chance that mary took the apple, or Daniel left the milk.
invalid_hypothesis: It is highly unlikely that mary took the apple, or Daniel left the milk.
hypothesis_assertion: Mary took the apple, or Daniel left the milk.