context: Chances are about even that John discarded the apple. There is a better than even chance that Lily is green. It is likely that Brian is a frog. It is impossible that if either Lily is green, or Brian is a frog, then Winona is a wolf. Chances are about even that if Brian is a frog, or Lily is green, then Mary went to the garden. Chances are slight that if either Lily is green, or Brian is a frog, then Antoine is thirsty.
hypothesis: It is probably not the case that lily is green, and John discarded the apple.
valid_hypothesis: It is probably not the case that lily is green, and John discarded the apple.
invalid_hypothesis: It is likely that lily is green, and John discarded the apple.
hypothesis_assertion: Lily is green, and John discarded the apple.