context: It is probable that Winona is a wolf. It is probably not the case that Julius is gray. Chances are about even that John left the milk. There is almost no chance that if either Julius is gray, or Winona is a wolf, then Bernhard is a frog. It is impossible that if either John left the milk, or Winona is a wolf, then Lily is a lion. Chances are about even that if Winona is a wolf, or Julius is gray, then Mary moved to the office.
hypothesis: There is almost no chance that either Mary moved to the office, or John left the milk.
valid_hypothesis: Chances are about even that either Mary moved to the office, or John left the milk.
invalid_hypothesis: There is almost no chance that either Mary moved to the office, or John left the milk.
hypothesis_assertion: Either Mary moved to the office, or John left the milk.