context: It is almost certain that Bernhard is a swan. It is probably the case that Greg is a rhino. It is unlikely that Mary dropped the apple. It is certain that if either Greg is a rhino, or Mary dropped the apple, then Bill is in the school. It is probably the case that if either Mary dropped the apple, or Greg is a rhino, then Lily is yellow. There is a very good chance that if Greg is a rhino, and Mary dropped the apple, then Julius is green.
hypothesis: Chances are about even that either Julius is green, or Lily is yellow.
valid_hypothesis: Chances are about even that either Julius is green, or Lily is yellow.
invalid_hypothesis: There is almost no chance that either Julius is green, or Lily is yellow.
hypothesis_assertion: Either Julius is green, or Lily is yellow.