context: It is probably the case that Mary is in the garden. It is probably not the case that Antoine is bored. It is certain that Jessica is a wolf. It is unlikely that if Jessica is a wolf, and Antoine is bored, then Julius is gray. Chances are about even that if Antoine is bored, and Jessica is a wolf, then Daniel took the apple. It is highly likely that if Mary is in the garden, and Jessica is a wolf, then Bill left the milk.
hypothesis: There is a better than even chance that daniel took the apple, or Julius is gray.
valid_hypothesis: It is improbable that daniel took the apple, or Julius is gray.
invalid_hypothesis: There is a better than even chance that daniel took the apple, or Julius is gray.
hypothesis_assertion: Daniel took the apple, or Julius is gray.