context: There is little chance that Sandra took the football. Chances are about even that Mary got the milk. It is improbable that Greg is green. It is highly likely that if Sandra took the football, or Mary got the milk, then John picked up the apple. There is a very good chance that if Sandra took the football, or Greg is green, then Lily is a frog. Chances are about even that if Greg is green, or Sandra took the football, then Bernhard is yellow.
hypothesis: There is almost no chance that john picked up the apple, or Bernhard is yellow.
valid_hypothesis: Chances are about even that john picked up the apple, or Bernhard is yellow.
invalid_hypothesis: There is almost no chance that john picked up the apple, or Bernhard is yellow.
hypothesis_assertion: John picked up the apple, or Bernhard is yellow.