context: It is unlikely that Bernhard is green. It is probably the case that Lily is yellow. It is impossible that Julius is a frog. We believe that if either Bernhard is green, or Julius is a frog, then Mary is in the garden. It is probably not the case that if Julius is a frog, and Lily is yellow, then John moved to the garden. It is unlikely that if Julius is a frog, and Lily is yellow, then Sandra got the football.
hypothesis: Chances are about even that julius is a frog, and John moved to the garden.
valid_hypothesis: It is impossible that julius is a frog, and John moved to the garden.
invalid_hypothesis: Chances are about even that julius is a frog, and John moved to the garden.
hypothesis_assertion: Julius is a frog, and John moved to the garden.