context: There is a better than even chance that Sandra left the apple. We believe that Lily is a swan. Chances are about even that Bernhard is gray. It is probably the case that if either Sandra left the apple, or Bernhard is gray, then Jessica is a cat. It is highly likely that if Sandra left the apple, and Lily is a swan, then Julius is gray. It is highly likely that if Sandra left the apple, and Bernhard is gray, then Fred went to the cinema.
hypothesis: It is probably the case that either Fred went to the cinema, or Bernhard is gray.
valid_hypothesis: It is probably not the case that either Fred went to the cinema, or Bernhard is gray.
invalid_hypothesis: It is probably the case that either Fred went to the cinema, or Bernhard is gray.
hypothesis_assertion: Either Fred went to the cinema, or Bernhard is gray.