context: It is highly unlikely that Gertrude is a wolf. There is a very good chance that Mary got the football. It is probable that Lily is white. There is little chance that if either Lily is white, or Mary got the football, then John picked up the apple. It is highly likely that if Lily is white, and Mary got the football, then Brian is gray. It is probable that if either Mary got the football, or Lily is white, then Julius is a frog.
hypothesis: It is highly likely that julius is a frog, or John picked up the apple.
valid_hypothesis: It is probably not the case that julius is a frog, or John picked up the apple.
invalid_hypothesis: It is highly likely that julius is a frog, or John picked up the apple.
hypothesis_assertion: Julius is a frog, or John picked up the apple.