context: It is probable that John moved to the office. We believe that Sandra got the apple. There is a very good chance that Greg is gray. Chances are about even that if Sandra got the apple, or Greg is gray, then Lily is yellow. It is highly likely that if John moved to the office, and Greg is gray, then Bernhard is a lion. There is a very good chance that if John moved to the office, and Greg is gray, then Fred went to the hallway.
hypothesis: Chances are about even that john moved to the office, and Bernhard is a lion.
valid_hypothesis: Chances are about even that john moved to the office, and Bernhard is a lion.
invalid_hypothesis: There is almost no chance that john moved to the office, and Bernhard is a lion.
hypothesis_assertion: John moved to the office, and Bernhard is a lion.