context: It is highly unlikely that Daniel dropped the apple. It is probable that Mary got the football. It is probably not the case that Bill left the milk. It is impossible that if Bill left the milk, or Mary got the football, then John moved to the garden. Chances are slight that if Bill left the milk, and Daniel dropped the apple, then Bernhard is a lion. It is probably not the case that if Mary got the football, and Bill left the milk, then Julius is a swan.
hypothesis: There is a better than even chance that bernhard is a lion, and Daniel dropped the apple.
valid_hypothesis: It is impossible that bernhard is a lion, and Daniel dropped the apple.
invalid_hypothesis: There is a better than even chance that bernhard is a lion, and Daniel dropped the apple.
hypothesis_assertion: Bernhard is a lion, and Daniel dropped the apple.