context: There is a very good chance that Bernhard is a swan. Chances are about even that John went to the garden. It is unlikely that Lily is a rhino. We doubt that if Lily is a rhino, or Bernhard is a swan, then Daniel dropped the apple. Chances are slight that if Bernhard is a swan, or John went to the garden, then Julius is a frog. Chances are slight that if Bernhard is a swan, or John went to the garden, then Mary put down the milk.
hypothesis: It is probably not the case that daniel dropped the apple, or Julius is a frog.
valid_hypothesis: It is probably not the case that daniel dropped the apple, or Julius is a frog.
invalid_hypothesis: It is probably the case that daniel dropped the apple, or Julius is a frog.
hypothesis_assertion: Daniel dropped the apple, or Julius is a frog.