context: It is improbable that John moved to the garden. It is improbable that Julius is green. It is certain that Gertrude is a mouse. It is unlikely that if Gertrude is a mouse, or John moved to the garden, then Greg is a rhino. Chances are slight that if John moved to the garden, or Julius is green, then Lily is gray. It is probable that if John moved to the garden, and Gertrude is a mouse, then Mary left the apple.
hypothesis: Chances are about even that either Mary left the apple, or John moved to the garden.
valid_hypothesis: There is almost no chance that either Mary left the apple, or John moved to the garden.
invalid_hypothesis: Chances are about even that either Mary left the apple, or John moved to the garden.
hypothesis_assertion: Either Mary left the apple, or John moved to the garden.