context: It is certain that Winona is a sheep. Chances are slight that Bernhard is yellow. We doubt that Bill is in the kitchen. Chances are about even that if Bernhard is yellow, or Bill is in the kitchen, then Greg is a frog. Chances are slight that if Winona is a sheep, and Bill is in the kitchen, then Lily is white. It is impossible that if Bernhard is yellow, and Bill is in the kitchen, then Daniel got the milk.
hypothesis: It is probably the case that either Bill is in the kitchen, or Bernhard is yellow.
valid_hypothesis: It is probably not the case that either Bill is in the kitchen, or Bernhard is yellow.
invalid_hypothesis: It is probably the case that either Bill is in the kitchen, or Bernhard is yellow.
hypothesis_assertion: Either Bill is in the kitchen, or Bernhard is yellow.