context: It is probable that Sandra left the football. It is unlikely that Mary took the apple. It is unlikely that Bernhard is yellow. Chances are slight that if Bernhard is yellow, or Sandra left the football, then Jessica is a wolf. It is highly unlikely that if Bernhard is yellow, or Sandra left the football, then Greg is gray. Chances are about even that if Mary took the apple, or Sandra left the football, then Jeff went to the garden.
hypothesis: It is probably the case that mary took the apple, or Jessica is a wolf.
valid_hypothesis: It is probably not the case that mary took the apple, or Jessica is a wolf.
invalid_hypothesis: It is probably the case that mary took the apple, or Jessica is a wolf.
hypothesis_assertion: Mary took the apple, or Jessica is a wolf.