context: There is a better than even chance that Lily is a frog. It is highly likely that John went to the garden. It is improbable that Mary put down the apple.
hypothesis: It is almost certain that lily is a frog, and John went to the garden.
valid_hypothesis: Chances are about even that lily is a frog, and John went to the garden.
invalid_hypothesis: It is almost certain that lily is a frog, and John went to the garden.
hypothesis_assertion: Lily is a frog, and John went to the garden.