context: It is probable that Bernhard is white. Chances are slight that Brian is a frog. There is a very good chance that Mary went to the bedroom.
hypothesis: There is a better than even chance that mary went to the bedroom, and Bernhard is white.
valid_hypothesis: There is a better than even chance that mary went to the bedroom, and Bernhard is white.
invalid_hypothesis: There is almost no chance that mary went to the bedroom, and Bernhard is white.
hypothesis_assertion: Mary went to the bedroom, and Bernhard is white.