context: It is probably the case that Julius is a frog. It is highly unlikely that Bernhard is white. There is a very good chance that Lily is white.
hypothesis: There is a better than even chance that lily is white, and Julius is a frog.
valid_hypothesis: There is a better than even chance that lily is white, and Julius is a frog.
invalid_hypothesis: Chances are slight that lily is white, and Julius is a frog.
hypothesis_assertion: Lily is white, and Julius is a frog.