context: Chances are slight that Julius is a lion. There is a better than even chance that Daniel took the football. It is improbable that Lily is a frog.
hypothesis: It is probably the case that lily is a frog, or Julius is a lion.
valid_hypothesis: It is unlikely that lily is a frog, or Julius is a lion.
invalid_hypothesis: It is probably the case that lily is a frog, or Julius is a lion.
hypothesis_assertion: Lily is a frog, or Julius is a lion.