context: We doubt that Bernhard is a frog. There is a better than even chance that Mary went to the bedroom. It is probably the case that Julius is gray.
hypothesis: Chances are about even that either Julius is gray, or Mary went to the bedroom.
valid_hypothesis: Chances are about even that either Julius is gray, or Mary went to the bedroom.
invalid_hypothesis: There is almost no chance that either Julius is gray, or Mary went to the bedroom.
hypothesis_assertion: Either Julius is gray, or Mary went to the bedroom.