context: It is unlikely that Bernhard is a frog. There is little chance that Mary moved to the garden. It is probably not the case that Emily is a wolf.
hypothesis: Chances are about even that emily is a wolf, or Bernhard is a frog.
valid_hypothesis: Chances are about even that emily is a wolf, or Bernhard is a frog.
invalid_hypothesis: It is certain that emily is a wolf, or Bernhard is a frog.
hypothesis_assertion: Emily is a wolf, or Bernhard is a frog.