context: It is probable that Bernhard is white. It is probable that Julius is a rhino. There is a better than even chance that John went to the bedroom.
hypothesis: It is highly unlikely that john went to the bedroom, and Julius is a rhino.
valid_hypothesis: Chances are about even that john went to the bedroom, and Julius is a rhino.
invalid_hypothesis: It is highly unlikely that john went to the bedroom, and Julius is a rhino.
hypothesis_assertion: John went to the bedroom, and Julius is a rhino.