context: It is probably the case that Julius is a frog. It is highly likely that Bernhard is a frog. It is likely that Mary grabbed the apple.
hypothesis: It is probably not the case that either Mary grabbed the apple, or Bernhard is a frog.
valid_hypothesis: It is probably not the case that either Mary grabbed the apple, or Bernhard is a frog.
invalid_hypothesis: It is almost certain that either Mary grabbed the apple, or Bernhard is a frog.
hypothesis_assertion: Either Mary grabbed the apple, or Bernhard is a frog.