context: Chances are about even that Daniel got the apple. It is probably not the case that Lily is white. It is almost certain that Julius is a swan.
hypothesis: Chances are slight that lily is white, or Daniel got the apple.
valid_hypothesis: There is a better than even chance that lily is white, or Daniel got the apple.
invalid_hypothesis: Chances are slight that lily is white, or Daniel got the apple.
hypothesis_assertion: Lily is white, or Daniel got the apple.