context: We doubt that Bill is in the office. It is probably the case that Lily is a frog. There is a very good chance that Sandra left the apple.
hypothesis: There is almost no chance that either Lily is a frog, or Bill is in the office.
valid_hypothesis: There is a better than even chance that either Lily is a frog, or Bill is in the office.
invalid_hypothesis: There is almost no chance that either Lily is a frog, or Bill is in the office.
hypothesis_assertion: Either Lily is a frog, or Bill is in the office.