context: Chances are about even that Mary left the apple. It is certain that John moved to the office. It is probable that Lily is a frog.
hypothesis: It is certain that lily is a frog, or John moved to the office.
valid_hypothesis: It is certain that lily is a frog, or John moved to the office.
invalid_hypothesis: It is improbable that lily is a frog, or John moved to the office.
hypothesis_assertion: Lily is a frog, or John moved to the office.