context: It is unlikely that John went to the bedroom. Chances are slight that Lily is white. It is probably the case that Mary is in the bathroom.
hypothesis: There is a better than even chance that either John went to the bedroom, or Mary is in the bathroom.
valid_hypothesis: There is a better than even chance that either John went to the bedroom, or Mary is in the bathroom.
invalid_hypothesis: It is highly unlikely that either John went to the bedroom, or Mary is in the bathroom.
hypothesis_assertion: Either John went to the bedroom, or Mary is in the bathroom.