context: There is a better than even chance that Bernhard is white. Chances are about even that Julius is a frog. It is probably not the case that Greg is gray.
hypothesis: It is almost certain that greg is gray, and Julius is a frog.
valid_hypothesis: It is improbable that greg is gray, and Julius is a frog.
invalid_hypothesis: It is almost certain that greg is gray, and Julius is a frog.
hypothesis_assertion: Greg is gray, and Julius is a frog.