context: There is a better than even chance that Greg is a lion. It is probably the case that Julius is a frog. Chances are about even that Fred went to the office.
hypothesis: It is probably not the case that julius is a frog, or Fred went to the office.
valid_hypothesis: There is a very good chance that julius is a frog, or Fred went to the office.
invalid_hypothesis: It is probably not the case that julius is a frog, or Fred went to the office.
hypothesis_assertion: Julius is a frog, or Fred went to the office.