context: It is unlikely that Fred is in the cinema. It is almost certain that Lily is a swan. It is probable that Bernhard is yellow.
hypothesis: It is probably not the case that either Bernhard is yellow, or Lily is a swan.
valid_hypothesis: It is probably not the case that either Bernhard is yellow, or Lily is a swan.
invalid_hypothesis: There is a very good chance that either Bernhard is yellow, or Lily is a swan.
hypothesis_assertion: Either Bernhard is yellow, or Lily is a swan.