context: It is probably not the case that John moved to the garden. Chances are about even that Daniel took the apple. There is a very good chance that Lily is white.
hypothesis: It is improbable that either John moved to the garden, or Lily is white.
valid_hypothesis: It is probable that either John moved to the garden, or Lily is white.
invalid_hypothesis: It is improbable that either John moved to the garden, or Lily is white.
hypothesis_assertion: Either John moved to the garden, or Lily is white.