context: There is a better than even chance that Greg is a frog. We doubt that Mary dropped the apple. Chances are slight that Bernhard is a swan.
hypothesis: It is almost certain that mary dropped the apple, or Bernhard is a swan.
valid_hypothesis: It is probably not the case that mary dropped the apple, or Bernhard is a swan.
invalid_hypothesis: It is almost certain that mary dropped the apple, or Bernhard is a swan.
hypothesis_assertion: Mary dropped the apple, or Bernhard is a swan.