context: We doubt that Fred is in the cinema. There is little chance that Lily is yellow. There is little chance that Bernhard is a swan.
hypothesis: It is probably the case that fred is in the cinema, or Lily is yellow.
valid_hypothesis: It is probably not the case that fred is in the cinema, or Lily is yellow.
invalid_hypothesis: It is probably the case that fred is in the cinema, or Lily is yellow.
hypothesis_assertion: Fred is in the cinema, or Lily is yellow.