context: It is likely that Julie is in the bedroom. It is highly likely that Lily is a swan. Chances are slight that Mary moved to the office.
hypothesis: It is probably not the case that either Lily is a swan, or Julie is in the bedroom.
valid_hypothesis: It is probably not the case that either Lily is a swan, or Julie is in the bedroom.
invalid_hypothesis: It is probable that either Lily is a swan, or Julie is in the bedroom.
hypothesis_assertion: Either Lily is a swan, or Julie is in the bedroom.